Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon Ducks v Northwestern Wildcats

2026-10-31 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon Ducks (Local)

Prediction 71.18%1.40fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -6.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.02%71.18%71.18%72.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.331.331.3776.92%74.91%74.91%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northwestern Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 28.82%3.47fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.593%
Kelly -0.840%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.66%28.82%28.82%29.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.303.303.4031.25%30.30%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Oregon Ducks (Local): 71.18%; Northwestern Wildcats (Visit): 28.82%. For Northwestern Wildcats (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.40, with an expected value of -2.02%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.48%E -1.81%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-21 22:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.46%E -5.74%K -24.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.02%E -0.593%K -0.840%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-21 22:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%3.9%2026-10-22 00:10