Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon Ducks v Nebraska Cornhuskers

2026-10-17 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

74%

26%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon Ducks (Local)

Prediction 74.05%1.35fair odd

EV -0.030%

Edge -0.022%

Kelly -0.085%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

70.45%74.05%71.43%79.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.181.301.311.3584.75%77.18%76.34%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nebraska Cornhuskers (Visit)

Prediction 25.95%3.85fair odd

EV +20.66%

Edge +4.44%

Kelly +5.66%

Growth +1.17%

assuming max odds 4.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

20.24%25.95%28.57%29.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.103.423.254.6532.26%29.26%30.77%21.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Oregon Ducks (Local): 74.05%; Nebraska Cornhuskers (Visit): 25.95%. For Nebraska Cornhuskers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.65, producing a positive expected value of +20.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Marathon Bet🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -12.62%E -10.69%K -70.10%G +0.000%	4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV +20.66%E +4.44%K +5.66%G +1.17%	6.3%	2026-10-11 10:25
FanDuel🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -0.030%E -0.022%K -0.085%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -14.37%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-10-11 10:50
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -2.25%E -1.71%K -7.04%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -14.37%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-11 07:54
SportsBet🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -2.99%E -2.28%K -9.65%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -15.67%E -4.82%K -6.96%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-10-11 10:50
ReBet🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -2.99%E -2.28%K -9.65%G +0.000%	3.22I 31.06%NM 28.92%EV -16.45%E -5.11%K -7.41%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-10-11 07:54
Paddy Power🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -3.73%E -2.87%K -12.44%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -19.56%E -6.31%K -9.31%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-10-11 10:54
LeoVegas🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -3.73%E -2.87%K -12.44%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -19.56%E -6.31%K -9.31%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-10-11 07:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Polymarket◎	1.23I 81.30%NM 71.72%	3.12I 32.05%NM 28.28%	13.4%	2026-10-11 10:50
Novig◎	1.25I 80.00%NM 63.98%	2.22I 45.05%NM 36.02%	25.0%	2026-10-11 05:15

Arbitrage (6 combinations) +4.62%FanDuel 1.35 (77.5%) / Marathon Bet 4.65 (22.5%)Show all 6 combinations

Oregon Ducks (Local)	Nebraska Cornhuskers (Visit)	Margin
FanDuel🎯 1.35 (77.5%)	Marathon Bet🎯 4.65 (22.5%)	+4.62%
Unibet (UK)🎯 1.32 (77.9%)	Marathon Bet🎯 4.65 (22.1%)	+2.81%
SportsBet🎯 1.31 (78.0%)	Marathon Bet🎯 4.65 (22.0%)	+2.21%
ReBet🎯 1.31 (78.0%)	Marathon Bet🎯 4.65 (22.0%)	+2.21%
Paddy Power🎯 1.30 (78.2%)	Marathon Bet🎯 4.65 (21.8%)	+1.60%
LeoVegas🎯 1.30 (78.2%)	Marathon Bet🎯 4.65 (21.8%)	+1.60%