The School of Odds

Ole Miss Rebels v LSU Tigers

2026-09-19 23:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Ole Miss Rebels (Local)

Prediction 53.70%1.86fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -4.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%53.70%53.83%54.55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.701.761.761.8058.82%56.78%56.82%55.56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

LSU Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 46.30%2.16fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.45%46.30%46.17%46.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.982.052.052.1050.51%48.78%48.78%47.62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-23 09:24
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-14 20:09
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.70%E -1.78%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 19:30
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.16%E -2.01%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 19:30
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -6.01%E -2.96%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 09:28
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.03%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 17:10
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -6.03%E -3.44%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -5.55%E -2.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 09:24
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -8.71%E -5.12%K -12.44%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -8.33%E -4.20%K -8.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 09:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.