Ole Miss Rebels v Louisville Cardinals

2026-09-05 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

69%

31%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Ole Miss Rebels (Local)

Prediction 68.67%1.46fair odd

EV -0.422%

Edge -0.291%

Kelly -0.937%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

65.88%68.67%68.54%70.51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.331.401.421.4575.19%71.17%70.18%68.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Louisville Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 31.33%3.19fair odd

EV -0.385%

Edge -0.121%

Kelly -0.177%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.49%31.33%31.46%34.12%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.802.952.903.1835.71%33.88%34.48%31.45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Bovada	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -0.422%E -0.291%K -0.937%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -12.29%E -4.39%K -6.83%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-18 16:49
Paddy Power	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.11%E -0.770%K -2.52%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.29%E -4.39%K -6.83%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-11 17:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.11%E -0.770%K -2.52%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.29%E -4.39%K -6.83%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-11 17:34
FanDuel	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -1.80%E -1.26%K -4.18%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -9.16%E -3.16%K -4.82%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-05-11 17:34
SportsBet	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.48%E -1.75%K -5.91%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -9.16%E -3.16%K -4.82%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-05-11 17:34
Caesars	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.86%E -2.75%K -9.64%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-05-23 13:47
NordicBet	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.51%EV -8.66%E -6.51%K -26.25%G +0.000%	3.18I 31.45%NM 29.49%EV -0.385%E -0.121%K -0.177%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-04-22 05:04
Betsson	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.51%EV -8.66%E -6.51%K -26.25%G +0.000%	3.18I 31.45%NM 29.49%EV -0.385%E -0.121%K -0.177%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-04-22 05:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.