Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Old Dominion Monarchs v Norfolk State Spartans

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 22:02 UTC

Final: Old Dominion Monarchs 31–10 Norfolk State Spartans

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

99%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Old Dominion Monarchs (Local)

Prediction 98.79%1.01fair odd

EV -0.221%

Edge -0.219%

Kelly -22.12%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

92.52%98.79%98.79%99.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.50%99.50%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Norfolk State Spartans (Visit)

Prediction 1.21%82.71fair odd

EV +143.02%

Edge +0.712%

Kelly +0.715%

Growth +1.02%

assuming max odds 201.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

0.50%1.21%1.21%7.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

12.5069.6932.63201.008.00%1.43%3.07%0.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Old Dominion Monarchs (Local): 98.79%; Norfolk State Spartans (Visit): 1.21%. For Norfolk State Spartans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 82.71. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 201.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +143.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 99.50%EV -1.21%E -1.21%K +0.000%G +0.000%	201.00I 0.50%NM 0.50%EV +143.02%E +0.712%K +0.715%G +1.02%	0.5%	2026-09-01 07:00
Fanatics🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -1.21%E -1.21%K +0.000%G +0.000%	51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV -38.34%E -0.752%K -0.767%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-08-31 10:04
Betr (AU)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -0.221%E -0.219%K -22.12%G +0.000%	14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -82.77%E -5.81%K -6.25%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-29 05:44
LeoVegas🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -0.221%E -0.219%K -22.12%G +0.000%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -84.89%E -6.79%K -7.38%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-03 06:54

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.