Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Old Dominion Monarchs v James Madison Dukes

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 22:00 UTC

Final: Old Dominion Monarchs 20–46 James Madison Dukes

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Old Dominion Monarchs (Local)

Prediction 30.72%3.25fair odd
EV -0.153%
Edge -0.047%
Kelly -0.068%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.65%30.85%30.65%32.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.893.083.103.2534.60%32.46%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

James Madison Dukes (Visit)

Prediction 69.28%1.44fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -3.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.05%69.15%69.35%70.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.371.381.4275.19%72.89%72.73%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Old Dominion Monarchs (Local): 30.72%; James Madison Dukes (Visit): 69.28%. For Old Dominion Monarchs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.255. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.250, with an expected value of -0.153%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -0.153%E -0.047%K -0.068%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -5.09%E -3.71%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-26 21:29
LowVig.ag🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -1.08%E -0.334%K -0.484%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -5.09%E -3.71%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-26 21:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -1.08%E -0.334%K -0.484%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -5.09%E -3.71%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-26 21:30
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.69%E -0.528%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 21:40
Pinnacle🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.48%EV -2.61%E -0.824%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.52%EV -3.70%E -2.66%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-26 21:50
theScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.23%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.40%E -3.19%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 21:49
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.23%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.40%E -3.19%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 21:30
GTbets🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.23%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.40%E -3.19%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 21:30
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.23%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.40%E -3.19%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 21:28
BetAnything🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.23%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.40%E -3.19%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 21:54
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.40%E -3.19%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 21:50
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.40%E -3.19%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 21:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.09%E -3.71%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 21:30
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.09%E -3.71%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 21:30
Fliff🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.09%E -3.71%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 21:50
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 20:09
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 20:09
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 20:09
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 20:09
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 20:09
Bally Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 20:09
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 20:09
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.17%E -5.35%K -21.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 20:09
Coolbet🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -5.68%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.40%E -3.19%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 21:49
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.30%E -2.06%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.40%E -3.19%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.30%E -2.06%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.40%E -3.19%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 21:39
Neds🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.30%E -2.06%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.40%E -3.19%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 21:40
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.30%E -2.06%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.09%E -3.71%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 20:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.30%E -2.06%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-26 21:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.30%E -2.06%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-26 20:09
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.01%E -2.15%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 20:30
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.70%E -2.66%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 21:55
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.40%E -3.19%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 21:30
Dabble (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.40%E -3.19%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 21:25
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.40%E -3.19%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.86%E -5.91%K -23.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-26 21:39
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.86%E -5.91%K -23.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-26 21:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.40%E -3.19%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 20:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -3.70%E -2.66%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 21:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -11.21%E -3.88%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -1.63%E -1.14%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 20:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-09-26 21:50
Matchbook◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-09-26 21:55
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%0.9%2026-09-26 21:25
Novig◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%0.9%2026-09-26 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-09-26 21:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-09-26 21:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-09-26 21:30