Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Old Dominion Monarchs v East Carolina Pirates

2026-09-19 22:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Old Dominion Monarchs (Local)

Prediction 55.26%1.81fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%55.24%55.26%56.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.711.711.7759.88%58.39%58.48%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

East Carolina Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 44.74%2.24fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.81%44.76%44.74%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.112.102.1848.78%47.45%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Old Dominion Monarchs (Local): 55.26%; East Carolina Pirates (Visit): 44.74%. For Old Dominion Monarchs (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.77, with an expected value of -2.18%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.18%E -1.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.94%E -2.87%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 19:35
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.94%E -2.87%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 19:34
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 19:34
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.50%E -3.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 19:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.50%E -3.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 19:34
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.48%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 19:35
ReBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 19:14
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.29%E -4.05%K -7.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 19:14
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 19:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-09-13 19:30
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 55.04%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%10.1%2026-09-13 19:40