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Old Dominion Monarchs v East Carolina Pirates
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Old Dominion Monarchs (Local)
Prediction 54.40%1.84fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.25%54.34%54.31%55.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.751.751.8058.82%57.10%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
East Carolina Pirates (Visit)
Prediction 45.60%2.19fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -0.916%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.70%45.66%45.69%47.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.082.082.1550.76%48.14%48.08%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Old Dominion Monarchs (Local): 54.40%; East Carolina Pirates (Visit): 45.60%. For East Carolina Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -1.97%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.07%E -1.15%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-19 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -2.07%E -1.15%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -10.18%E -5.17%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 21:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -2.62%E -1.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -2.88%E -1.35%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-19 21:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.62%E -1.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.62%E -2.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-19 21:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.62%E -1.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.62%E -2.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-19 21:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 21:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 21:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 21:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 21:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 21:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 21:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 21:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 21:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-19 21:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-19 21:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-19 21:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-19 21:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-19 21:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-19 21:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 21:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 21:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 21:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 21:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 21:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 21:33 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.97%E -0.916%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-19 21:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -5.62%E -2.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-19 21:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -5.62%E -2.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-19 21:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 21:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-19 21:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.34%E -1.57%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 22:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 21:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 21:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.42%E -3.74%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-19 21:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.42%E -3.74%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 21:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.97%E -4.08%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-19 21:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.97%E -4.08%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 21:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.51%E -4.42%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.62%E -2.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 21:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.51%E -4.42%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.81%E -4.40%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-19 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.51%E -4.42%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.81%E -4.40%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-19 21:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05% | -0.0% | 2026-09-19 21:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75% | 0.7% | 2026-09-19 21:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-09-19 21:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.4% | 2026-09-19 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.4% | 2026-09-19 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.4% | 2026-09-19 21:55 |