The School of Odds

Oklahoma State Cowboys v Oregon Ducks

2026-09-12 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Oklahoma State Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 13.84%7.23fair odd
EV +7.26%
Edge +0.937%
Kelly +1.08%
Growth +0.078%

assuming max odds 7.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.43%13.68%13.86%15.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.806.766.757.7517.24%14.80%14.81%12.90%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Oregon Ducks (Visit)

Prediction 86.16%1.16fair odd
EV -4.36%
Edge -3.93%
Kelly -39.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.18%86.32%86.14%87.57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.081.101.101.1192.59%91.00%90.91%90.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV +7.26%E +0.937%K +1.08%G +0.078%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -5.22%E -4.75%K -52.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-26 15:00
Coolbet7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV -1.74%E -0.244%K -0.284%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -5.22%E -4.75%K -52.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 15:00
Betr (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.12%E -0.446%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.09%E -5.58%K -67.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 15:01
FanDuel6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV -4.50%E -0.653%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -4.36%E -3.93%K -39.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 19:40
Hard Rock Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.58%E -0.975%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.36%E -3.93%K -39.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 00:50
MyBookie.ag6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.04%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.36%E -3.93%K -39.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-22 00:54
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.04%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.22%E -4.75%K -52.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 00:50
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.04%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.95%E -6.43%K -86.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 15:01
LeoVegas5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -19.73%E -3.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -6.09%E -5.58%K -67.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 00:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.