Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.80
assuming max odds 1.31
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma Sooners (Local): 25.92%; Texas Longhorns (Visit): 74.08%. For Oklahoma Sooners (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -1.50%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.50%E -0.394%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.44%E -3.44%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.50%E -0.394%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.44%E -3.44%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 19:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.50%E -0.394%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.44%E -3.44%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 19:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.50%E -0.394%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.44%E -3.44%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.50%E -0.394%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.92%E -4.66%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.79%E -0.745%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.44%E -3.44%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 19:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.79%E -0.745%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.44%E -3.44%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 19:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.79%E -0.745%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.44%E -3.44%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.79%E -0.745%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.18%E -4.05%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 19:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.79%EV -3.05%E -0.817%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.21%EV -3.70%E -2.84%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-10 19:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.70%E -2.84%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 18:36 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.44%E -3.44%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.44%E -3.44%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 19:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.44%E -3.44%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 19:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.44%E -3.44%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 19:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.44%E -3.44%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 19:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.44%E -3.44%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.44%E -3.44%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.44%E -3.44%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.44%E -3.44%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 19:23 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.18%E -4.05%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.18%E -4.05%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 19:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.18%E -4.05%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.18%E -4.05%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 19:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.18%E -4.05%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 19:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 19:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -5.39%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.70%E -2.84%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 16:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.39%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.44%E -3.44%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.39%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.92%E -4.66%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.39%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.92%E -4.66%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 19:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.39%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.92%E -4.66%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 19:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.96%E -2.26%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.70%E -2.84%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.70%E -2.84%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.70%E -2.84%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.44%E -3.44%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 09:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.84%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.70%E -2.84%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.70%E -2.84%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.15%EV -9.62%E -7.89%K -43.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-10 19:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.57%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.70%E -2.84%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 09:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.57%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.70%E -2.84%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 09:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -10.57%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.96%E -2.26%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 18:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -17.05%E -5.33%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -3.70%E -2.84%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-10 19:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -17.05%E -5.33%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -3.70%E -2.84%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-10 19:18 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Novig◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-10-10 19:24 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-10-10 19:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-10-10 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 1.4% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 1.4% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 1.4% | 2026-10-10 19:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.16% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.84% | 2.2% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |