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Oklahoma Sooners v New Mexico Lobos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Oklahoma Sooners (Local)
Prediction 91.41%1.09fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -2.93%
Kelly -51.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.91%91.29%91.48%93.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.041.041.0699.01%96.36%96.15%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New Mexico Lobos (Visit)
Prediction 8.59%11.64fair odd
EV +20.31%
Edge +1.45%
Kelly +1.56%
Growth +0.317%
assuming max odds 14.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.79%8.71%8.52%11.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5011.3311.4414.0011.76%8.83%8.74%7.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma Sooners (Local): 91.41%; New Mexico Lobos (Visit): 8.59%. For New Mexico Lobos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.64. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 14.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.31%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.77%E -6.63%K -338.28%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +20.31%E +1.45%K +1.56%G +0.317% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.77%E -6.63%K -338.28%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +20.31%E +1.45%K +1.56%G +0.317% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.77%E -6.63%K -338.28%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +20.31%E +1.45%K +1.56%G +0.317% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.77%E -6.63%K -338.28%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +20.31%E +1.45%K +1.56%G +0.317% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 13:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.77%E -6.63%K -338.28%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +20.31%E +1.45%K +1.56%G +0.317% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.77%E -6.63%K -338.28%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +20.31%E +1.45%K +1.56%G +0.317% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 13:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.77%E -6.63%K -338.28%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +20.31%E +1.45%K +1.56%G +0.317% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 13:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.85%E -5.68%K -195.05%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +11.72%E +0.901%K +0.976%G +0.114% | 4.8% | 2026-09-19 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.68%E -7.60%K -767.96%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +11.72%E +0.901%K +0.976%G +0.114% | 6.7% | 2026-09-15 13:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.68%E -7.60%K -767.96%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +11.72%E +0.901%K +0.976%G +0.114% | 6.7% | 2026-09-15 13:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25%EV -4.02%E -3.83%K -80.47%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75%EV +7.42%E +0.594%K +0.645%G +0.048% | 3.2% | 2026-09-19 23:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.35%EV -7.68%E -7.60%K -767.96%G +0.000% | 12.20I 8.20%NM 7.65%EV +4.84%E +0.397%K +0.432%G +0.021% | 7.2% | 2026-09-19 23:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.02%E -3.83%K -80.47%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +3.12%E +0.260%K +0.284%G +0.009% | 3.6% | 2026-09-18 11:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.94%E -4.75%K -123.44%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +3.12%E +0.260%K +0.284%G +0.009% | 4.5% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.85%E -5.68%K -195.05%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +3.12%E +0.260%K +0.284%G +0.009% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 16:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.80%EV -4.02%E -3.83%K -80.47%G +0.000% | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.20%EV +0.975%E +0.083%K +0.091%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -4.02%E -3.83%K -80.47%G +0.000% | 11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV +0.460%E +0.039%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -4.02%E -3.83%K -80.47%G +0.000% | 11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV +0.460%E +0.039%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.11%E -2.93%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV -1.17%E -0.102%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-17 20:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -4.02%E -3.83%K -80.47%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -1.17%E -0.102%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-16 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.85%E -5.68%K -195.05%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -1.17%E -0.102%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-19 16:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.85%E -5.68%K -195.05%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -1.17%E -0.102%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-19 16:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.52%EV -3.11%E -2.93%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 11.44I 8.74%NM 8.48%EV -1.69%E -0.148%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-19 23:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.02%E -3.83%K -80.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -5.47%E -0.497%K -0.547%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-19 22:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.94%E -4.75%K -123.44%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -5.47%E -0.497%K -0.547%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.85%E -5.68%K -195.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -5.47%E -0.497%K -0.547%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 22:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.85%E -5.68%K -195.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -5.47%E -0.497%K -0.547%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 23:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.38%EV -5.85%E -5.68%K -195.05%G +0.000% | 10.92I 9.16%NM 8.62%EV -6.16%E -0.564%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 23:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.14%EV -4.94%E -4.75%K -123.44%G +0.000% | 10.70I 9.35%NM 8.86%EV -8.05%E -0.752%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-19 23:32 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.02%E -3.83%K -80.47%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -9.77%E -0.930%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 15:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.94%E -4.75%K -123.44%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -9.77%E -0.930%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-19 23:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -4.94%E -4.75%K -123.44%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -11.92%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-17 15:36 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.75%EV -5.85%E -5.68%K -195.05%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.25%EV -13.20%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 23:33 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.11%E -2.93%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -14.06%E -1.41%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.94%E -4.75%K -123.44%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -14.06%E -1.41%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 23:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.85%E -5.68%K -195.05%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -14.06%E -1.41%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-17 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.85%E -5.68%K -195.05%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -14.06%E -1.41%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 23:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.11%E -2.93%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -18.36%E -1.93%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-19 23:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.94%E -4.75%K -123.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -18.36%E -1.93%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 23:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.11%E -2.93%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -22.66%E -2.52%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-19 23:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.11%E -2.93%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -22.66%E -2.52%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 17:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.02%E -3.83%K -80.47%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -22.66%E -2.52%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -4.94%E -4.75%K -123.44%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -22.66%E -2.52%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 23:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -4.94%E -4.75%K -123.44%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -22.66%E -2.52%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 23:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -3.11%E -2.93%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -26.95%E -3.17%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-19 23:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 93.42% | 15.18I 6.59%NM 6.58% | 0.0% | 2026-09-19 23:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 0.9% | 2026-09-19 20:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 1.2% | 2026-09-19 23:34 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91% | 1.3% | 2026-09-14 04:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 89.49% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.51% | 10.6% | 2026-09-19 23:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 89.49% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.51% | 10.6% | 2026-09-19 23:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 89.49% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.51% | 10.6% | 2026-09-19 23:34 |