Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.40
assuming max odds 3.32
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma Sooners (Local): 69.94%; Kentucky Wildcats (Visit): 30.06%. For Kentucky Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.32, with an expected value of -0.208%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.08%E -1.49%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-17 23:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.08%E -1.49%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-17 23:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.08%E -1.49%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -11.33%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 23:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.08%E -1.49%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -11.33%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.08%E -1.49%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -11.33%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 23:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -2.78%E -2.00%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 23:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-17 21:41 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.32%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 23:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.32%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 22:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.48%E -2.52%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.32%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 22:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.18%E -3.05%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 22:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.18%E -3.05%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.18%E -3.05%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 21:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.18%E -3.05%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 23:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.94%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.06%EV -0.208%E -0.063%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-17 23:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.809%E -0.245%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.31%E -0.711%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-17 23:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.31%E -0.711%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-17 23:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 23:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 23:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.23%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.77%EV -8.02%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 23:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 22:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.74%EV -4.88%E -3.59%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.26%EV -10.13%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 23:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.58%E -4.13%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 23:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.58%E -4.13%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 23:29 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.58%E -4.13%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 21:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.58%E -4.13%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 20:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -5.58%E -4.13%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -12.83%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 23:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -5.58%E -4.13%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -12.83%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 23:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.28%E -4.68%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.28%E -4.68%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.28%E -4.68%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.28%E -4.68%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.28%E -4.68%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 23:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.28%E -4.68%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 23:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.28%E -4.68%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 23:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.28%E -4.68%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 23:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.28%E -4.68%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 23:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 23:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 23:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 23:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 23:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -6.98%E -5.25%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -13.43%E -4.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-17 21:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.68%E -5.82%K -23.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 23:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.08%E -6.98%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-17 23:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-10-17 23:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-10-17 23:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-10-17 23:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-10-17 23:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-10-17 23:29 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 2.7% | 2026-10-17 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 2.7% | 2026-10-17 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 2.7% | 2026-10-17 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77% | 3.2% | 2026-10-17 23:35 |