The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Ohio State Buckeyes v Ball State Cardinals

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 16:30 UTC

Final: Ohio State Buckeyes 56–3 Ball State Cardinals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ohio State Buckeyes (Local)

Prediction 95.76%1.04fair odd
EV +713.92%
Edge +83.99%
Kelly +95.19%
Growth +679.58%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.27%79.63%95.45%99.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.002.451.008.50100.00%40.78%100.00%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ball State Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 4.24%23.56fair odd
EV +965.31%
Edge +3.85%
Kelly +3.86%
Growth +37.27%

assuming max odds 251.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
0.40%20.37%4.55%88.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.0854.5913.38251.0092.59%1.83%7.48%0.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ohio State Buckeyes (Local): 95.76%; Ball State Cardinals (Visit): 4.24%. For Ball State Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 23.56. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 251.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +965.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +713.92%E +83.99%K +95.19%G +679.58%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -95.42%E -88.35%K -1192.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 19:35
Bet Right🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +666.05%E +83.26%K +95.15%G +633.74%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -95.42%E -88.35%K -1192.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 19:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -3.29%E -3.25%K -328.67%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -39.52%E -2.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 19:50
LeoVegas🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -3.29%E -3.25%K -328.67%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -46.95%E -3.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 06:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 99.60%EV -4.24%E -4.24%K +0.000%G +0.000%251.00I 0.40%NM 0.40%EV +965.31%E +3.85%K +3.86%G +37.27%0.4%2026-06-23 22:00
Fanatics🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 99.50%EV -4.24%E -4.24%K +0.000%G +0.000%201.00I 0.50%NM 0.50%EV +753.10%E +3.75%K +3.77%G +28.36%0.5%2026-09-01 21:04
Coolbet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.24%E -4.24%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -10.87%E -0.518%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 19:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.24%EV -4.24%E -4.24%K +0.000%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.76%EV -15.11%E -0.756%K -0.796%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 16:40
Bet Victor🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -4.24%E -4.24%K +0.000%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -49.07%E -4.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 01:20
betano_uk🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -4.24%E -4.24%K +0.000%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -49.07%E -4.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 01:23
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-01 21:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-01 21:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-01 21:00