The School of Odds

Ohio State Buckeyes v Ball State Cardinals

2026-09-05 16:30 UTC — NCAAF

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Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Ohio State Buckeyes (Local)

Prediction 97.53%1.03fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -149.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
93.38%97.53%97.53%99.60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.001.001.001.01100%100%100%99%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Ball State Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 2.47%40.47fair odd
EV +520.26%
Edge +2.07%
Kelly +2.08%
Growth +10.83%

assuming max odds 251.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
0.40%2.47%2.47%6.62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
14.2575.7518.88251.007%1%5%0%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)1.00I 100.00%NM 99.60%EV -2.47%E -2.47%K +0.000%G +0.000%251.00I 0.40%NM 0.40%EV +520.26%E +2.07%K +2.08%G +10.83%0.4%2026-06-23 22:00
Coolbet1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -2.47%E -2.47%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -48.11%E -2.29%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 02:10
MyBookie.ag1.00I 100.00%NM 94.37%EV -2.47%E -2.47%K +0.000%G +0.000%16.75I 5.97%NM 5.63%EV -58.61%E -3.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 17:54
Betr (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -1.50%E -1.48%K -149.59%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -64.79%E -4.55%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 10:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.60%Betr (AU) 1.01 (99.6%) / Unibet (UK) 251.00 (0.4%)Show details
Ohio State Buckeyes (Local)Ball State Cardinals (Visit)Margin
Betr (AU) 1.01 (99.6%)Unibet (UK) 251.00 (0.4%)+0.595%