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Northwestern Wildcats v South Dakota State Jackrabbits
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Northwestern Wildcats (Local)
Prediction 81.75%1.22fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -9.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.31%81.57%81.78%82.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.171.171.2087.72%85.42%85.47%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
South Dakota State Jackrabbits (Visit)
Prediction 18.25%5.48fair odd
EV +0.401%
Edge +0.073%
Kelly +0.089%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.17%18.43%18.22%20.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.604.985.005.5021.74%20.10%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Northwestern Wildcats (Local): 81.75%; South Dakota State Jackrabbits (Visit): 18.25%. For South Dakota State Jackrabbits (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.48. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.401%.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.36%E -3.72%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +0.401%E +0.073%K +0.089%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.81%E -5.97%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.401%E +0.073%K +0.089%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.43%EV -6.81%E -5.97%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57%EV -2.34%E -0.437%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-05 23:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.18%E -4.46%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -3.25%E -0.613%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.36%E -3.72%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.16%E -0.793%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.36%E -3.72%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.16%E -0.793%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.36%E -3.72%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.16%E -0.793%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 18:38 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.18%E -4.46%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.16%E -0.793%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.18%E -4.46%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.16%E -0.793%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:03 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.36%E -3.72%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -5.08%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.18%E -4.46%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.08%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.18%E -4.46%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.08%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.99%E -5.21%K -39.95%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -5.08%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.81%E -5.97%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.08%E -0.976%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -5.99%E -5.21%K -39.95%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -7.63%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.36%E -3.72%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.73%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.18%E -4.46%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.73%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.36%E -3.72%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -11.46%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-05 23:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.18%E -4.46%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -12.38%E -2.58%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.81%E -5.97%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -12.38%E -2.58%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-05 23:03 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.54%E -3.00%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -13.29%E -2.80%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -1.91%E -1.59%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -14.20%E -3.02%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -1.91%E -1.59%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -14.20%E -3.02%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -1.91%E -1.59%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -14.20%E -3.02%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -1.91%E -1.59%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -14.20%E -3.02%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -1.91%E -1.59%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -15.12%E -3.25%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 03:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -1.91%E -1.59%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -16.03%E -3.48%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -1.91%E -1.59%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -16.03%E -3.48%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.72%E -2.29%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.03%E -3.48%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.72%E -2.29%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.03%E -3.48%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.54%E -3.00%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -16.03%E -3.48%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -5.99%E -5.21%K -39.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -16.03%E -3.48%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-05 23:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-09-05 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-09-05 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-09-05 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.63% | 5.71I 17.51%NM 17.37% | 0.8% | 2026-09-05 23:49 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.95% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 18.05% | 1.7% | 2026-09-05 23:50 |