The School of Odds

Northwestern Wildcats v South Dakota State Jackrabbits

2026-09-06 00:00 UTC — NCAAF

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Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Northwestern Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 84.69%1.18fair odd
EV -5.15%
Edge -4.60%
Kelly -42.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.41%84.69%84.69%85.11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.111.121.121.1290%89%89%89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

South Dakota State Jackrabbits (Visit)

Prediction 15.31%6.53fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.313%
Kelly -0.371%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.89%15.31%15.31%17.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.205.885.956.4019%17%17%16%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.15%E -4.60%K -42.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.00%E -0.313%K -0.371%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 07:35
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.15%E -4.60%K -42.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.13%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 07:39
MyBookie.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.15%E -4.60%K -42.91%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -9.66%E -1.64%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 07:44
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 82.41%EV -6.00%E -5.40%K -54.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -20.38%E -3.92%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 07:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.