Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northwestern Wildcats v South Dakota State Jackrabbits

2026-09-06 00:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northwestern Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 82.33%1.21fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -15.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.90%82.50%82.03%84.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.141.151.1890.09%87.44%86.96%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Dakota State Jackrabbits (Visit)

Prediction 17.67%5.66fair odd
EV +10.44%
Edge +1.67%
Kelly +1.99%
Growth +0.208%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.08%17.50%17.97%20.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.655.575.406.2521.51%17.97%18.52%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Northwestern Wildcats (Local): 82.33%; South Dakota State Jackrabbits (Visit): 17.67%. For South Dakota State Jackrabbits (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.66. 9 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.25, producing a positive expected value of +10.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -7.79%E -6.96%K -64.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +10.44%E +1.67%K +1.99%G +0.208%5.3%2026-09-02 19:30
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -7.79%E -6.96%K -64.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +10.44%E +1.67%K +1.99%G +0.208%5.3%2026-09-02 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -7.79%E -6.96%K -64.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +10.44%E +1.67%K +1.99%G +0.208%5.3%2026-09-02 19:30
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -7.79%E -6.96%K -64.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +10.44%E +1.67%K +1.99%G +0.208%5.3%2026-09-02 19:30
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -8.61%E -7.76%K -78.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +10.44%E +1.67%K +1.99%G +0.208%6.1%2026-09-02 19:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -8.61%E -7.76%K -78.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +10.44%E +1.67%K +1.99%G +0.208%6.1%2026-09-02 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -8.61%E -7.76%K -78.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +10.44%E +1.67%K +1.99%G +0.208%6.1%2026-09-02 19:30
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -8.61%E -7.76%K -78.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +10.44%E +1.67%K +1.99%G +0.208%6.1%2026-09-02 19:30
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.47%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +0.720%E +0.126%K +0.153%G +0.001%4.5%2026-09-02 02:34
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.81%E -0.512%K -0.625%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 21:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.81%E -0.512%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 21:45
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.35%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 21:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 21:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 21:50
theScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 17:20
ReBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.47%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -8.12%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 21:45
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.89%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -9.88%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 21:44
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.85%E -2.42%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 17:20
PlayUp🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.85%E -2.42%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 21:44
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 21:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -16.07%E -3.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 21:45
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -17.83%E -3.84%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 01:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%3.3%2026-09-02 20:40
Novig1.12I 89.29%NM 82.85%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.15%7.8%2026-09-02 22:59