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Northwestern Wildcats v South Dakota State Jackrabbits

2026-09-06 00:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northwestern Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 81.57%1.23fair odd
EV -4.56%
Edge -3.90%
Kelly -26.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.96%81.57%81.63%81.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.161.161.1789.29%86.49%86.21%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Dakota State Jackrabbits (Visit)

Prediction 18.43%5.43fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -0.441%
Kelly -0.543%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.08%18.43%18.37%20.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.955.005.3022.22%20.20%20.00%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Northwestern Wildcats (Local): 81.57%; South Dakota State Jackrabbits (Visit): 18.43%. For South Dakota State Jackrabbits (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.43. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.30, with an expected value of -2.34%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.56%E -3.90%K -26.82%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -2.34%E -0.441%K -0.543%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 19:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.56%E -3.90%K -26.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.26%E -0.620%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 19:35
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.56%E -3.90%K -26.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.18%E -0.803%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.38%E -4.63%K -33.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 19:33
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.38%E -4.63%K -33.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 05:44
ReBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.38%E -4.63%K -33.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -11.55%E -2.41%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-13 10:24
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -7.01%E -6.15%K -50.05%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.04%EV -16.16%E -3.55%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-12 08:39
SportsBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.07%EV -8.64%E -7.71%K -71.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -17.08%E -3.79%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-12 00:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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