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Northwestern Wildcats v Penn State Nittany Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Northwestern Wildcats (Local)
Prediction 42.74%2.34fair odd
EV +0.438%
Edge +0.186%
Kelly +0.324%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.51%42.64%42.60%44.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.232.232.3547.62%44.74%44.84%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit)
Prediction 57.26%1.75fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -3.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.26%57.36%57.40%59.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.651.651.7062.50%60.53%60.61%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Northwestern Wildcats (Local): 42.74%; Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit): 57.26%. For Northwestern Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.438%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +0.438%E +0.186%K +0.324%G +0.001% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-03 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +0.438%E +0.186%K +0.324%G +0.001% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-03 00:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +0.438%E +0.186%K +0.324%G +0.001% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-03 00:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.438%E +0.186%K +0.324%G +0.001% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.38%E -5.24%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 00:01 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.438%E +0.186%K +0.324%G +0.001% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.38%E -5.24%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 00:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.438%E +0.186%K +0.324%G +0.001% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.38%E -5.24%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 00:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV +0.010%E +0.004%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 00:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -1.27%E -0.551%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.80%E -2.26%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-03 00:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.70%E -0.739%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.37%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-02 23:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.70%E -0.739%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.37%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-03 00:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.70%E -0.739%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.37%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-03 00:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.70%E -0.739%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.37%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-02 23:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.70%E -0.739%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-03 00:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.70%E -0.739%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-03 00:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -2.98%E -1.31%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.37%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 00:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.84%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.37%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 00:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.84%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.37%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 23:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.84%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.37%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 23:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.84%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.95%E -2.98%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 23:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.84%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.95%E -2.98%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 23:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.84%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.95%E -2.98%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 23:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.84%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.95%E -2.98%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 23:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.84%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.69%E -2.10%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 23:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.69%E -2.10%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 23:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.69%E -2.10%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 23:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -4.69%E -2.10%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -6.09%E -3.72%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 23:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -4.69%E -2.10%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -6.09%E -3.72%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 23:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.97%E -2.72%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.66%E -1.56%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 00:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.97%E -2.72%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.97%E -2.72%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-02 23:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.97%E -2.72%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 00:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.80%E -2.26%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 00:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 23:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60%EV -7.68%E -3.56%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40%EV -4.37%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 23:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -7.68%E -3.56%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 00:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -7.68%E -3.56%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 00:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.37%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 00:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 00:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 00:06 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 00:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.24%E -4.47%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-03 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.81%E -4.85%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-02 23:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.81%E -4.85%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-02 23:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.25%E -4.88%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.66%E -1.56%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-02 23:52 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.25%E -4.88%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.37%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-28 12:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.49% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.51% | -0.0% | 2026-10-02 23:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 0.2% | 2026-10-03 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-10-03 00:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74% | 0.7% | 2026-10-03 00:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 00:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 0.9% | 2026-10-02 23:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-10-03 00:10 |