Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northwestern Wildcats v Iowa Hawkeyes

2026-11-07 17:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northwestern Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 54.11%1.85fair odd
EV -4.23%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -5.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%54.11%54.11%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.761.761.7757.14%56.82%56.82%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit)

Prediction 45.89%2.18fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -3.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%45.89%45.89%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.082.082.1048.78%48.19%48.19%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Northwestern Wildcats (Local): 54.11%; Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit): 45.89%. For Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.10, with an expected value of -3.62%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.62%E -1.72%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-28 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.32%E -3.04%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.92%E -2.89%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-28 22:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.63%2.38I 42.02%NM 42.37%-0.8%2026-10-29 00:30