Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northern Illinois Huskies v Air Force Falcons

2026-10-10 23:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northern Illinois Huskies (Local)

Prediction 19.79%5.05fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.215%
Kelly -0.269%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.35%19.89%19.69%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.704.655.0022.22%21.29%21.51%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Air Force Falcons (Visit)

Prediction 80.21%1.25fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -2.43%
Kelly -14.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.17%80.11%80.31%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.191.191.2186.21%84.36%84.03%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Northern Illinois Huskies (Local): 19.79%; Air Force Falcons (Visit): 80.21%. For Northern Illinois Huskies (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.05. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.00, with an expected value of -1.07%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -1.07%E -0.215%K -0.269%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.74%E -3.12%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-04 19:05
Caesars🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -3.05%E -0.623%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.74%E -3.12%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-04 18:59
FanDuel🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -4.04%E -0.834%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.54%E -3.82%K -23.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.03%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.15%E -5.26%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-04 19:05
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.02%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.74%E -3.12%K -18.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 19:04
ReBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -7.01%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.15%E -5.26%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-04 19:05
SportsBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -8.00%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.15%E -5.26%K -36.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 19:00
DraftKings🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -8.99%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.94%E -2.43%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.99%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.74%E -3.12%K -18.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.99%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.74%E -3.12%K -18.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 19:05
LeoVegas🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.99%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.95%E -5.99%K -43.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-04 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.97%E -2.44%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.15%E -5.26%K -36.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-04 19:04
Coral🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.97%E -2.44%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.15%E -5.26%K -36.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-04 19:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%2.0%2026-10-04 19:00
Novig◎4.76I 21.01%NM 19.87%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.13%5.8%2026-10-04 19:00