Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Texas Mean Green v Rice Owls

2026-11-07 21:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

86%

14%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Texas Mean Green (Local)

Prediction 86.24%1.16fair odd

EV -3.41%

Edge -3.04%

Kelly -28.38%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

81.36%86.23%86.31%88.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.071.111.111.1293.46%90.44%90.09%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rice Owls (Visit)

Prediction 13.76%7.27fair odd

EV +10.04%

Edge +1.26%

Kelly +1.43%

Growth +0.144%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

11.89%13.77%13.69%18.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.806.446.608.0020.83%15.53%15.15%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: North Texas Mean Green (Local): 86.24%; Rice Owls (Visit): 13.76%. For Rice Owls (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.27. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 8.00, producing a positive expected value of +10.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
theScore Bet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.86%E -6.35%K -85.70%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +10.04%E +1.26%K +1.43%G +0.144%	5.1%	2026-11-01 16:20
DraftKings🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.27%E -3.85%K -38.80%G +0.000%	7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -0.274%E -0.038%K -0.044%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-01 16:10
Caesars🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.27%E -3.85%K -38.80%G +0.000%	7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -0.274%E -0.038%K -0.044%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-01 19:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.27%E -3.85%K -38.80%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.71%E -0.530%K -0.619%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-01 16:29
Bet Right🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.27%E -3.85%K -38.80%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.15%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-01 16:30
FanDuel🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -3.41%E -3.04%K -28.38%G +0.000%	6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV -7.84%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-01 19:30
Coolbet🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.27%E -3.85%K -38.80%G +0.000%	6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -7.84%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-01 16:29
Paddy Power🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -7.72%E -7.21%K -110.26%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -10.59%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-11-01 19:14
Betr (AU)🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.27%E -3.85%K -38.80%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -14.03%E -2.24%K -2.67%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-01 19:29
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.41%E -3.04%K -28.38%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.47%E -2.91%K -3.49%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-01 18:14
SportsBet🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.31%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.47%E -2.91%K -3.49%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-11-01 19:10
ReBet🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -3.41%E -3.04%K -28.38%G +0.000%	5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -21.59%E -3.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-11-01 19:15
LeoVegas🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -4.27%E -3.85%K -38.80%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -27.78%E -5.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-11-01 19:15
picklebet_au🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 81.36%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.31%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -33.97%E -7.08%K -8.94%G +0.000%	11.7%	2026-11-01 19:15

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.12I 89.29%NM 89.03%	9.09I 11.00%NM 10.97%	0.3%	2026-11-01 18:20
Polymarket◎	1.11I 90.09%NM 86.55%	7.14I 14.01%NM 13.45%	4.1%	2026-11-01 19:10
ProphetX◎	1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%	7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%	4.2%	2026-11-01 19:10
Novig◎	1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%	6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%	8.6%	2026-11-01 19:15