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North Texas Mean Green v Charlotte 49ers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
North Texas Mean Green (Local)
Prediction 93.64%1.07fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -3.45%
Kelly -118.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.82%93.67%93.49%95.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.021.021.0399.01%98.29%98.04%97.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Charlotte 49ers (Visit)
Prediction 6.36%15.72fair odd
EV +46.32%
Edge +2.01%
Kelly +2.11%
Growth +0.975%
assuming max odds 23.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.21%6.33%6.51%10.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0015.0513.2523.0011.11%6.65%7.55%4.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Texas Mean Green (Local): 93.64%; Charlotte 49ers (Visit): 6.36%. For Charlotte 49ers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 15.72. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 23.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +46.32%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -5.43%E -5.37%K -542.56%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +46.32%E +2.01%K +2.11%G +0.975% | 3.4% | 2026-10-10 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -5.43%E -5.37%K -542.56%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +46.32%E +2.01%K +2.11%G +0.975% | 3.4% | 2026-10-10 14:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.10%EV -4.49%E -4.40%K -224.46%G +0.000% | 19.81I 5.05%NM 4.90%EV +26.03%E +1.31%K +1.38%G +0.360% | 3.1% | 2026-10-10 19:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.08%EV -5.43%E -5.37%K -542.56%G +0.000% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 4.92%EV +24.06%E +1.23%K +1.30%G +0.313% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.49%E -4.40%K -224.46%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +20.88%E +1.10%K +1.16%G +0.242% | 3.3% | 2026-10-10 16:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.49%E -4.40%K -224.46%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +20.88%E +1.10%K +1.16%G +0.242% | 3.3% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.43%E -5.37%K -542.56%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +20.88%E +1.10%K +1.16%G +0.242% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.43%E -5.37%K -542.56%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +20.88%E +1.10%K +1.16%G +0.242% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.49%E -4.40%K -224.46%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +14.52%E +0.806%K +0.854%G +0.124% | 3.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.49%E -4.40%K -224.46%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +14.52%E +0.806%K +0.854%G +0.124% | 3.6% | 2026-10-10 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.49%E -4.40%K -224.46%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +8.15%E +0.480%K +0.510%G +0.042% | 3.9% | 2026-10-10 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.43%E -5.37%K -542.56%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +8.15%E +0.480%K +0.510%G +0.042% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.25%EV -5.43%E -5.37%K -542.56%G +0.000% | 16.55I 6.04%NM 5.75%EV +5.29%E +0.320%K +0.340%G +0.018% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 19:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.49%E -4.40%K -224.46%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +1.79%E +0.112%K +0.119%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 17:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.49%E -4.40%K -224.46%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.57%E -0.305%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.49%E -4.40%K -224.46%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -10.93%E -0.781%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.49%E -4.40%K -224.46%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -10.93%E -0.781%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 20:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.16%EV -4.49%E -4.40%K -224.46%G +0.000% | 13.90I 7.19%NM 6.84%EV -11.57%E -0.832%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -4.49%E -4.40%K -224.46%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -14.11%E -1.05%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 19:28 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.49%E -4.40%K -224.46%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -17.29%E -1.33%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 19:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.49%E -4.40%K -224.46%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -17.29%E -1.33%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.49%E -4.40%K -224.46%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -17.29%E -1.33%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.49%E -4.40%K -224.46%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -17.29%E -1.33%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.49%E -4.40%K -224.46%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -17.29%E -1.33%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.49%E -4.40%K -224.46%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -17.29%E -1.33%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.49%E -4.40%K -224.46%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -17.29%E -1.33%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.49%E -4.40%K -224.46%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -17.29%E -1.33%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.49%E -4.40%K -224.46%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -17.29%E -1.33%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.43%E -5.37%K -542.56%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -17.29%E -1.33%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-10 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -3.55%E -3.45%K -118.43%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -20.48%E -1.64%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 18:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.49%E -4.40%K -224.46%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -20.48%E -1.64%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.49%E -4.40%K -224.46%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -20.48%E -1.64%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.49%E -4.40%K -224.46%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -20.48%E -1.64%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.43%E -5.37%K -542.56%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -20.48%E -1.64%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.49%E -4.40%K -224.46%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -23.66%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-10 17:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.43%E -5.37%K -542.56%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -23.66%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 19:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.43%E -5.37%K -542.56%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -23.66%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 19:18 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.82%EV -4.49%E -4.40%K -224.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -42.74%E -4.75%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-10 17:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33% | 27.03I 3.70%NM 3.67% | 0.8% | 2026-10-10 19:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67% | 0.8% | 2026-10-10 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.14% | 25.64I 3.90%NM 3.86% | 1.0% | 2026-10-10 19:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 14:15 |