Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Texas Mean Green v Charlotte 49ers

2026-10-10 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Texas Mean Green (Local)

Prediction 94.51%1.06fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -42.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.73%94.25%94.34%95.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.021.021.0499.01%98.09%98.04%96.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlotte 49ers (Visit)

Prediction 5.49%18.23fair odd
EV +26.19%
Edge +1.14%
Kelly +1.19%
Growth +0.312%

assuming max odds 23.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.21%5.75%5.66%10.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0016.1316.5023.0011.11%6.20%6.06%4.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: North Texas Mean Green (Local): 94.51%; Charlotte 49ers (Visit): 5.49%. For Charlotte 49ers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 18.23. 5 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 23.00, producing a positive expected value of +26.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.81%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +26.19%E +1.14%K +1.19%G +0.312%2.4%2026-10-04 19:00
DraftKings🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.13%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +26.19%E +1.14%K +1.19%G +0.312%3.4%2026-10-04 19:00
BetMGM🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.81%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +15.22%E +0.725%K +0.761%G +0.116%2.8%2026-10-04 19:00
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.13%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +15.22%E +0.725%K +0.761%G +0.116%3.8%2026-10-04 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.13%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +15.22%E +0.725%K +0.761%G +0.116%3.8%2026-10-04 19:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.81%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -6.73%E -0.396%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 19:00
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.81%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -6.73%E -0.396%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -6.73%E -0.396%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 19:00
Coral🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.13%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -6.73%E -0.396%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 19:00
Caesars🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.81%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.22%E -0.764%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 17:54
betfred_uk🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.81%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -17.70%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 15:50
Coolbet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.81%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV -20.45%E -1.41%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 15:50
Bet Right🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.81%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -23.19%E -1.66%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 15:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.81%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -31.42%E -2.51%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 15:49
SportsBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -34.16%E -2.85%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -1.71%E -1.64%K -42.65%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -42.39%E -4.04%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 18:50
ReBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.49%EV -2.65%E -2.57%K -88.37%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.51%EV -46.23%E -4.72%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 19:00
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -2.65%E -2.57%K -88.37%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -50.62%E -5.62%K -6.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 18:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.2%2026-10-04 18:25
Novig◎1.00I 100.00%NM 95.24%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.76%5.0%2026-10-04 19:05
ProphetX◎1.00I 100.00%NM 92.00%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.00%8.7%2026-10-04 18:45