Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Dakota State Bison v Wyoming Cowboys

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 19:30 UTC

Final: North Dakota State Bison 28–0 Wyoming Cowboys

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Dakota State Bison (Local)

Prediction 86.84%1.15fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -2.44%
Kelly -22.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.51%86.86%86.96%88.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.091.101.1294.34%91.66%90.91%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wyoming Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 13.16%7.60fair odd
EV +11.85%
Edge +1.39%
Kelly +1.58%
Growth +0.187%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.09%13.14%13.04%15.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.427.338.5016.67%13.47%13.65%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Dakota State Bison (Local): 86.84%; Wyoming Cowboys (Visit): 13.16%. For Wyoming Cowboys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.60. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.85%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -7.08%E -6.62%K -101.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +11.85%E +1.39%K +1.58%G +0.187%5.2%2026-10-03 19:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -7.08%E -6.62%K -101.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +11.85%E +1.39%K +1.58%G +0.187%5.2%2026-10-03 19:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -7.08%E -6.62%K -101.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +11.85%E +1.39%K +1.58%G +0.187%5.2%2026-10-03 19:05
Bally Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -7.08%E -6.62%K -101.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +11.85%E +1.39%K +1.58%G +0.187%5.2%2026-10-03 19:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -7.08%E -6.62%K -101.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +11.85%E +1.39%K +1.58%G +0.187%5.2%2026-10-03 19:04
betPARX🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -7.08%E -6.62%K -101.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +11.85%E +1.39%K +1.58%G +0.187%5.2%2026-10-03 19:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -7.08%E -6.62%K -101.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +11.85%E +1.39%K +1.58%G +0.187%5.2%2026-10-03 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.95%E -7.50%K -132.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +11.85%E +1.39%K +1.58%G +0.187%6.1%2026-10-03 19:04
Unibet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.95%E -7.50%K -132.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +11.85%E +1.39%K +1.58%G +0.187%6.1%2026-10-03 19:05
Pinnacle🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.10%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%8.07I 12.39%NM 11.90%EV +6.19%E +0.767%K +0.876%G +0.054%4.1%2026-10-03 17:55
Fliff🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.97%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.64%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV +3.96%E +0.501%K +0.573%G +0.023%5.3%2026-10-03 19:25
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.18%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.79%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.82%EV -0.650%E -0.086%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-03 17:50
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -1.31%E -0.174%K -0.201%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-03 14:29
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -1.31%E -0.174%K -0.201%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-03 17:42
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -1.31%E -0.174%K -0.201%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-03 18:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.31%E -0.174%K -0.201%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-03 18:40
BetUS🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.31%E -0.174%K -0.201%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-02 17:59
Everygame🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.31%E -0.174%K -0.201%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-03 14:30
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.31%E -0.174%K -0.201%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 01:30
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV -2.62%E -0.355%K -0.410%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-03 17:50
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.79%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -4.60%E -0.634%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-03 15:10
BetAnything🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.79%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -4.60%E -0.634%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-03 15:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -5.26%E -0.730%K -0.848%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-03 01:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.64%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -5.26%E -0.730%K -0.848%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-03 17:54
Coolbet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV -6.57%E -0.926%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 15:10
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.50%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.50%EV -7.23%E -1.03%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-02 18:15
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 19:20
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.89%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 18:41
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -2.74%E -2.44%K -22.82%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -9.73%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-03 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -2.74%E -2.44%K -22.82%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -9.73%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-03 14:25
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -5.34%E -4.90%K -59.37%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -10.52%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-03 01:00
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.47%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-03 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.47%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-03 19:20
Coral🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.47%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-03 19:20
betano_uk🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -7.08%E -6.62%K -101.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -14.47%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-03 19:25
Bet Victor🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -7.08%E -6.62%K -101.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -14.47%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-03 19:25
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.47%E -4.07%K -44.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -21.05%E -3.51%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-03 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.71%8.88I 11.26%NM 11.29%-0.2%2026-10-03 18:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-10-03 19:25
Novig◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.59%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.41%0.8%2026-10-03 17:45
Matchbook◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-10-03 19:25
Kalshi◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-10-03 14:30
ProphetX◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.11%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.89%1.3%2026-10-03 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20%1.5%2026-10-03 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20%1.5%2026-10-03 19:20