Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Dakota State Bison v Nevada Wolf Pack

2026-10-17 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Dakota State Bison (Local)

Prediction 84.10%1.19fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -2.86%
Kelly -21.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.42%84.17%84.15%85.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.131.131.1591.74%88.75%88.50%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit)

Prediction 15.90%6.29fair odd
EV +4.93%
Edge +0.748%
Kelly +0.881%
Growth +0.043%

assuming max odds 6.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.40%15.83%15.85%17.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.255.896.006.6019.05%16.97%16.67%15.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: North Dakota State Bison (Local): 84.10%; Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit): 15.90%. For Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.29. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.60, producing a positive expected value of +4.93%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
MyBookie.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -6.65%E -5.99%K -60.44%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV +4.93%E +0.748%K +0.881%G +0.043%5.2%2026-10-11 19:08
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -7.49%E -6.81%K -74.89%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV +1.75%E +0.274%K +0.325%G +0.006%6.5%2026-10-11 18:45
ReBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -7.49%E -6.81%K -74.89%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -3.02%E -0.494%K -0.591%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 18:45
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.28%E -2.86%K -21.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -4.61%E -0.768%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-11 18:30
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.12%E -3.62%K -29.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -4.61%E -0.768%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.12%E -3.62%K -29.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -4.61%E -0.768%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 18:19
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.12%E -3.62%K -29.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -4.61%E -0.768%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 18:24
betfred_uk🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.97%E -4.39%K -38.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.61%E -0.768%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.97%E -4.39%K -38.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.61%E -0.768%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:04
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.97%E -4.39%K -38.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.61%E -0.768%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:04
Coolbet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.97%E -4.39%K -38.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.61%E -0.768%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:04
Caesars🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.97%E -4.39%K -38.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.61%E -0.768%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:07
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.97%E -4.39%K -38.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.61%E -0.768%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 19:14
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.97%E -4.39%K -38.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.61%E -0.768%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 19:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.97%E -4.39%K -38.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.61%E -0.768%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 19:14
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.97%E -4.39%K -38.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.61%E -0.768%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 19:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.97%E -4.39%K -38.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.61%E -0.768%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 19:14
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.97%E -4.39%K -38.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.61%E -0.768%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 19:19
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.81%E -5.18%K -48.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.61%E -0.768%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.81%E -5.18%K -48.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.61%E -0.768%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 19:14
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.81%E -5.18%K -48.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.61%E -0.768%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 19:19
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.64%EV -4.12%E -3.62%K -29.46%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.36%EV -7.31%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 18:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.97%E -4.39%K -38.20%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.58%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 18:24
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.06%EV -8.33%E -7.64%K -92.56%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -8.58%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 18:50
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.33%EV -7.49%E -6.81%K -74.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -12.56%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 16:13
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.28%E -2.86%K -21.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -14.15%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-11 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.28%E -2.86%K -21.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -14.15%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-11 18:35
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.97%E -4.39%K -38.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -14.15%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 16:14
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -5.81%E -5.18%K -48.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -16.53%E -3.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-11 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -5.81%E -5.18%K -48.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -16.53%E -3.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-11 18:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-10-11 17:49
Novig◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.76%6.45I 15.50%NM 15.24%1.7%2026-10-11 18:34
Polymarket◎1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%3.7%2026-10-11 17:24
ProphetX◎1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%3.8%2026-10-11 19:34