Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Dakota State Bison v Fordham Rams

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 19:30 UTC

Final: North Dakota State Bison 38–0 Fordham Rams

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Dakota State Bison (Local)

Prediction 96.62%1.03fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -241.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
92.31%96.62%98.78%98.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.72%100.00%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fordham Rams (Visit)

Prediction 3.38%29.61fair odd
EV +173.55%
Edge +2.14%
Kelly +2.17%
Growth +3.76%

assuming max odds 81.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
1.22%3.38%1.22%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0034.8214.2581.008.33%2.87%7.02%1.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Dakota State Bison (Local): 96.62%; Fordham Rams (Visit): 3.38%. For Fordham Rams (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 29.61. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 81.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +173.55%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.78%EV -3.38%E -3.38%K +0.000%G +0.000%81.00I 1.23%NM 1.22%EV +173.55%E +2.14%K +2.17%G +3.76%1.2%2026-08-18 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.78%EV -3.38%E -3.38%K +0.000%G +0.000%81.00I 1.23%NM 1.22%EV +173.55%E +2.14%K +2.17%G +3.76%1.2%2026-08-30 15:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -3.38%E -3.38%K +0.000%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV +4.69%E +0.151%K +0.156%G +0.007%3.2%2026-09-02 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -2.41%E -2.39%K -241.09%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -51.88%E -3.64%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 05:44
LeoVegas🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -2.41%E -2.39%K -241.09%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -57.79%E -4.62%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 06:54
Bet Victor🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -3.38%E -3.38%K +0.000%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -59.47%E -4.96%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 01:20
betano_uk🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -3.38%E -3.38%K +0.000%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -59.47%E -4.96%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 01:23
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 97.41%38.00I 2.63%NM 2.59%1.6%2026-09-03 10:05
ProphetX1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%2.0%2026-09-04 12:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-01 21:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-01 21:15