Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.32
assuming max odds 3.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Carolina Tar Heels (Local): 74.12%; Syracuse Orange (Visit): 25.88%. For Syracuse Orange (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -1.64%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.17%E -1.64%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.29%E -3.97%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-24 23:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.01%EV -2.91%E -2.22%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.99%EV -3.45%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-24 23:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -2.91%E -2.22%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-24 23:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -2.91%E -2.22%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -6.04%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-24 23:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -2.91%E -2.22%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -6.04%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-24 23:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.91%E -2.22%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.82%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-24 23:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.65%E -2.81%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-24 15:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.65%E -2.81%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -5.52%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-24 23:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.65%E -2.81%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.82%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-24 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.65%E -2.81%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.11%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 23:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.65%E -2.81%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.11%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 23:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.65%E -2.81%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.11%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 23:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.65%E -2.81%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.11%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 23:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.65%E -2.81%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.11%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 23:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.65%E -2.81%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.11%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 23:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.65%E -2.81%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.11%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 23:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.65%E -2.81%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.40%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-24 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.65%E -2.81%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.40%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-24 23:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.65%E -2.81%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.40%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-24 23:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.65%E -2.81%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.99%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-24 23:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.65%E -2.81%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.99%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-24 23:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.65%E -2.81%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.29%E -3.97%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-24 23:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.65%E -2.81%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -14.58%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-24 23:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.65%E -2.81%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -14.58%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-24 23:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.39%E -3.40%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.64%E -0.431%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-24 22:51 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.39%E -3.40%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.93%E -0.782%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-24 23:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.39%E -3.40%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.93%E -0.782%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-24 23:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.39%E -3.40%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.93%E -0.782%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-24 23:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.39%E -3.40%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-24 23:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.39%E -3.40%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-24 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.39%E -3.40%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.40%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-24 23:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.39%E -3.40%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.40%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-24 23:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.13%E -4.01%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.64%E -0.431%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-24 23:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.13%E -4.01%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.93%E -0.782%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-24 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.13%E -4.01%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-24 23:23 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.13%E -4.01%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-24 23:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.13%E -4.01%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.52%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-24 23:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.87%E -4.62%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.52%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-24 23:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.61%E -5.25%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-24 23:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -6.61%E -5.25%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.70%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-24 23:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.36%E -5.88%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.93%E -0.782%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-22 00:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.36%E -5.88%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.93%E -0.782%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-24 18:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.36%E -5.88%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 18:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.36%E -5.88%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 23:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.36%E -5.88%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 23:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -7.36%E -5.88%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.99%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-24 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -7.36%E -5.88%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.99%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-24 23:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -8.10%E -6.53%K -33.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -9.40%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-24 21:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -9.58%E -7.85%K -43.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -6.82%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-24 21:01 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-10-24 23:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-10-24 14:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-10-24 14:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-10-24 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-10-24 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-10-24 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-10-24 23:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.7% | 2026-10-24 23:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 2.2% | 2026-10-24 23:25 |