Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Mexico State Aggies v Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

2026-10-02 00:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Mexico State Aggies (Local)

Prediction 51.84%1.93fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.52%51.83%51.95%53.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.821.811.8957.14%55.05%55.25%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Visit)

Prediction 48.16%2.08fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.98%48.17%48.05%49.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.971.962.0252.36%50.72%50.89%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New Mexico State Aggies (Local): 51.84%; Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Visit): 48.16%. For New Mexico State Aggies (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.93. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.89, with an expected value of -2.02%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.02%E -1.07%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -7.06%E -3.66%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 15:20
betfred_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.06%E -1.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.09%E -3.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 18:05
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.06%E -1.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.09%E -3.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 18:24
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.06%E -1.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.09%E -3.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 19:35
Caesars🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.09%E -2.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 18:00
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.09%E -2.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 19:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.09%E -2.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.13%E -2.60%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 18:00
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.09%E -2.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.61%E -2.86%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 18:00
Betsson🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.61%E -2.51%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.61%E -2.86%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 18:04
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.61%E -2.51%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.61%E -2.86%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 18:00
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.13%E -2.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 16:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -5.13%E -2.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.17%E -2.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 19:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.13%E -2.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.61%E -2.86%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-27 19:05
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.13%E -2.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.61%E -2.86%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-27 19:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.13%E -2.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.57%E -3.39%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 18:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.13%E -2.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.06%E -3.66%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-27 15:05
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.65%E -3.10%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.72%E -1.35%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.65%E -3.10%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.57%E -3.39%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-27 18:05
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.68%E -3.71%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.72%E -1.35%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 15:00
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.68%E -3.71%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.72%E -1.35%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.68%E -3.71%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.72%E -1.35%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.68%E -3.71%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.72%E -1.35%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 15:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.68%E -3.71%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 15:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.68%E -3.71%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.65%E -2.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-27 18:00
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.68%E -3.71%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.06%E -3.66%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-27 18:00
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.68%E -3.71%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.02%E -4.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-27 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.68%E -3.71%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.02%E -4.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-27 19:05
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -7.20%E -4.02%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -2.72%E -1.35%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -7.20%E -4.02%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -2.72%E -1.35%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -7.20%E -4.02%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -2.72%E -1.35%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 15:00
ReBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -7.20%E -4.02%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.09%E -3.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-27 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.72%E -4.34%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 15:00
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.72%E -4.34%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 15:05
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -8.24%E -4.66%K -10.70%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -5.13%E -2.60%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-27 18:00
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -9.28%E -5.30%K -12.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.02%E -4.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-27 18:00
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -9.28%E -5.30%K -12.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.02%E -4.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-27 18:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%4.6%2026-09-27 18:15
ProphetX◎1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%6.8%2026-09-27 19:30