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New Mexico State Aggies v New Mexico Lobos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New Mexico State Aggies (Local)
Prediction 20.67%4.84fair odd
EV +3.36%
Edge +0.672%
Kelly +0.841%
Growth +0.028%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.83%20.76%20.69%22.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.644.605.0024.39%21.54%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New Mexico Lobos (Visit)
Prediction 79.33%1.26fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -2.64%
Kelly -14.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.07%79.24%79.31%81.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.201.201.2286.21%83.59%83.33%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Mexico State Aggies (Local): 20.67%; New Mexico Lobos (Visit): 79.33%. For New Mexico State Aggies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.84. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.36%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +3.36%E +0.672%K +0.841%G +0.028% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-24 17:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +3.36%E +0.672%K +0.841%G +0.028% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-25 19:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +3.36%E +0.672%K +0.841%G +0.028% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-25 19:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +3.36%E +0.672%K +0.841%G +0.028% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-25 19:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +3.36%E +0.672%K +0.841%G +0.028% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-25 19:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +3.36%E +0.672%K +0.841%G +0.028% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-25 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +3.36%E +0.672%K +0.841%G +0.028% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-25 19:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +3.36%E +0.672%K +0.841%G +0.028% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.98%E -6.88%K -49.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-25 19:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +3.36%E +0.672%K +0.841%G +0.028% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.98%E -6.88%K -49.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-25 19:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.20%EV -1.19%E -0.248%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.80%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-26 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV -1.81%E -0.380%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.81%E -0.380%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-26 16:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.81%E -0.380%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-22 21:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.81%E -0.380%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-26 19:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.81%E -0.380%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-25 20:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -2.84%E -0.604%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-25 20:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -2.84%E -0.604%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 19:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -3.87%E -0.833%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-25 20:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 18:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 18:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-25 16:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -5.94%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-26 03:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -6.97%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-21 19:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -6.97%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-26 03:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -6.97%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-26 03:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -8.01%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 17:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -9.04%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -9.04%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-26 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -9.04%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -9.04%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-26 03:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.04%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-26 16:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.04%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-26 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -10.49%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -11.11%E -2.58%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-21 19:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.18%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-22 05:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -15.24%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.39% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.61% | 0.5% | 2026-09-26 17:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.36% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.64% | 1.3% | 2026-09-26 19:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 1.3% | 2026-09-26 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93% | 1.7% | 2026-09-26 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93% | 1.7% | 2026-09-26 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93% | 1.7% | 2026-09-26 19:20 |