Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Mexico State Aggies v Jacksonville State Gamecocks

2026-10-29 00:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Mexico State Aggies (Local)

Prediction 43.23%2.31fair odd
EV -4.04%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -3.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.08%43.23%43.23%43.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.142.162.2248.78%46.69%46.30%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks (Visit)

Prediction 56.77%1.76fair odd
EV -4.62%
Edge -2.75%
Kelly -6.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.45%56.77%56.77%56.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.641.641.6863.29%61.05%60.98%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New Mexico State Aggies (Local): 43.23%; Jacksonville State Gamecocks (Visit): 56.77%. For New Mexico State Aggies (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.22, with an expected value of -4.04%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.04%E -1.82%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-22 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.77%E -2.64%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-22 18:10
SportsBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -6.63%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -6.89%E -4.20%K -10.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-22 17:49
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.03%E -4.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-22 17:50
picklebet_au🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.39%E -5.55%K -10.84%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -10.30%E -6.52%K -17.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-22 18:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%1.59I 62.89%NM 55.71%12.9%2026-10-22 19:46
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%1.54I 64.94%NM 56.50%14.9%2026-10-22 19:20