The School of College Oddsodds.college
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New Mexico Lobos v North Dakota State Bison

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 02:24 UTC

Final: New Mexico Lobos 21–16 North Dakota State Bison

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Mexico Lobos (Local)

Prediction 63.21%1.58fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -3.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%63.26%63.18%65.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.501.501.5569.44%66.73%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Dakota State Bison (Visit)

Prediction 36.79%2.72fair odd
EV +1.17%
Edge +0.426%
Kelly +0.670%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.37%36.74%36.82%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.572.552.7540.82%38.92%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Mexico Lobos (Local): 63.21%; North Dakota State Bison (Visit): 36.79%. For North Dakota State Bison (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.98%E -6.23%K -20.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.17%E +0.426%K +0.670%G +0.008%5.8%2026-10-23 09:54
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.82%E -3.90%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -1.40%E -0.523%K -0.835%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-25 02:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.29%E -2.15%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.51%E -0.946%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-25 01:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.29%E -2.15%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.51%E -0.946%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-25 01:50
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.29%E -2.15%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.51%E -0.946%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-21 17:03
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.55%E -3.02%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.51%E -0.946%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-24 22:50
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.02%E -1.31%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -2.87%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-25 02:15
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.29%E -2.15%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-25 01:49
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.98%E -6.23%K -20.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.61%E -1.38%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 00:45
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.66%E -1.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.35%E -1.67%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-25 02:04
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.35%E -1.67%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 11:50
Caesars🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.35%E -1.67%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-22 19:00
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.55%E -3.02%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.35%E -1.67%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-25 00:50
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.35%E -1.67%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 00:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.35%E -1.67%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 00:55
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.35%E -1.67%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 00:55
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.35%E -1.67%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 01:50
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.82%E -3.90%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.35%E -1.67%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 02:00
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.08%E -4.82%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.35%E -1.67%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 02:05
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.71%E -5.28%K -16.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -4.35%E -1.67%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 02:05
betfred_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.35%E -5.76%K -18.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.35%E -1.67%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-25 01:59
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -6.45%E -4.36%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -4.71%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 01:59
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.66%E -1.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.19%E -2.43%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.19%E -2.43%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 02:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.19%E -2.43%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 01:50
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.19%E -2.43%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 01:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.19%E -2.43%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 02:05
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.19%E -2.43%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.19%E -2.43%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 02:05
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.19%E -2.43%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 02:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.19%E -2.43%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 02:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.19%E -2.43%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 02:05
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.19%E -2.43%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 02:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.19%E -2.43%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 02:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.19%E -2.43%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 01:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.82%E -3.90%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.19%E -2.43%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 01:00
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.45%E -4.36%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.19%E -2.43%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 02:10
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -8.98%E -6.23%K -20.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.19%E -2.43%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-23 03:44
picklebet_au🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 01:59
ReBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 02:19
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 02:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 02:05
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 02:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.45%E -4.36%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 00:00
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.45%E -4.36%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 00:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.08%E -4.82%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-25 02:24
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.98%E -6.23%K -20.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 14:40
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.86%E -4.03%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 01:50
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.86%E -4.03%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 01:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-10-25 02:20
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-10-25 02:20
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-10-25 00:50
Matchbook◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-10-25 01:55
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-10-25 02:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.7%2026-10-25 02:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.7%2026-10-25 02:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.7%2026-10-25 02:20
BetOpenly◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%2.3%2026-10-25 01:59