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New Mexico Lobos v Central Michigan Chippewas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New Mexico Lobos (Local)
Prediction 78.33%1.28fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -11.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.07%78.42%78.29%79.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.221.221.2483.33%82.16%81.97%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Central Michigan Chippewas (Visit)
Prediction 21.67%4.61fair odd
EV +2.94%
Edge +0.619%
Kelly +0.785%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.17%21.58%21.71%22.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.374.304.7524.39%22.91%23.26%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Mexico Lobos (Local): 78.33%; Central Michigan Chippewas (Visit): 21.67%. For Central Michigan Chippewas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.61. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.94%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -5.22%E -4.32%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +2.94%E +0.619%K +0.785%G +0.023% | 3.7% | 2026-09-06 00:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +2.94%E +0.619%K +0.785%G +0.023% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 00:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +2.94%E +0.619%K +0.785%G +0.023% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 17:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +2.94%E +0.619%K +0.785%G +0.023% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 00:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +1.86%E +0.396%K +0.502%G +0.009% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 01:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.22%E -4.32%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.308%E -0.067%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 00:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -1.39%E -0.306%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 00:37 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -1.39%E -0.306%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.48%E -0.550%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.48%E -0.550%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 01:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.48%E -0.550%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 01:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.22%E -4.32%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.48%E -0.550%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 00:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.66%EV -5.22%E -4.32%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.34%EV -3.34%E -0.749%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 01:53 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.64%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.64%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 01:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.22%E -4.32%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.64%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.87%E -2.32%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.81%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 01:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.66%E -2.97%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.81%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.66%E -2.97%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.81%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.81%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.81%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 01:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.81%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 00:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.22%E -4.32%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.81%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 01:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.92%EV -5.22%E -4.32%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.08%EV -7.46%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 01:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.66%E -2.97%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -7.89%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.66%E -2.97%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -7.89%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.66%E -2.97%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -7.89%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.66%E -2.97%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -7.89%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.66%E -2.97%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -7.89%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.66%E -2.97%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -7.89%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.66%E -2.97%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -7.89%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.89%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 00:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.89%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 01:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 00:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 01:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.14%E -2.72%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.14%E -2.72%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.14%E -2.72%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 01:53 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.61% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.39% | 0.5% | 2026-09-06 01:53 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |