The School of Odds

New Mexico Lobos v Central Michigan Chippewas

2026-09-06 02:00 — NCAAF

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Option 1: New Mexico Lobos (Local)

1.1686.21%Min
1.1785.29%Mean
1.1785.47%Median
1.1984.03%Max
78.75%1.270Min
81.92%1.221Max
80.79%1.238Mean
80.84%1.237Median
80.83%1.237IQM
80.89%1.236Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.19 under the IQM model: 80.83%

EV -3.81%Edge -3.21%Kelly -20.08%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Central Michigan Chippewas (Visit)

4.3023.26%Min
4.9120.38%Mean
5.0020.00%Median
5.3018.87%Max
18.08%5.530Min
21.25%4.707Max
19.21%5.205Mean
19.16%5.219Median
19.17%5.216IQM
19.11%5.233Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.30 under the IQM model: 19.17%

EV +1.61%Edge +0.304%Kelly +0.375%Growth +0.006%

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerNew Mexico Lobos (Local)Central Michigan Chippewas (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.17I 85.47% NM 81.92%EV -5.43% E -4.64% K -31.95% G +0.000%5.30I 18.87% NM 18.08%EV +1.61% E +0.304% K +0.375% G +0.006%4.3%2026-06-26 13:49
Hard Rock Bet1.17I 85.47% NM 81.78%EV -5.43% E -4.64% K -31.95% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 18.22%EV +0.654% E +0.125% K +0.154% G +0.001%4.5%2026-07-07 12:20
DraftKings1.19I 84.03% NM 80.78%EV -3.81% E -3.21% K -20.08% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 19.22%EV -4.14% E -0.828% K -1.03% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 12:19
Caesars1.18I 84.75% NM 80.91%EV -4.62% E -3.92% K -25.68% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 19.09%EV -4.14% E -0.828% K -1.03% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 09:34
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47% NM 81.04%EV -5.43% E -4.64% K -31.95% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.96%EV -4.14% E -0.828% K -1.03% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 12:19
Coolbet1.18I 84.75% NM 80.59%EV -4.62% E -3.92% K -25.68% G +0.000%4.90I 20.41% NM 19.41%EV -6.06% E -1.24% K -1.55% G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 13:49
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21% NM 79.51%EV -6.24% E -5.38% K -39.00% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.49%EV -13.72% E -3.05% K -3.92% G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-09 06:19
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21% NM 78.75%EV -6.24% E -5.38% K -39.00% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 21.25%EV -17.56% E -4.08% K -5.32% G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-06 09:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth