The School of Odds

Nevada Wolf Pack v Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

2026-09-06 02:30 — NCAAF

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Option 1: Nevada Wolf Pack (Local)

2.0548.78%Min
2.1546.62%Mean
2.1546.51%Median
2.2045.45%Max
43.73%2.287Min
44.85%2.230Max
44.18%2.263Mean
44.14%2.266Median
44.10%2.267IQM
44.19%2.263Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.20 under the IQM model: 44.10%

EV -2.97%Edge -1.35%Kelly -2.48%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Visit)

1.6560.61%Min
1.7158.65%Mean
1.7158.48%Median
1.7457.47%Max
55.15%1.813Min
56.27%1.777Max
55.82%1.791Mean
55.86%1.790Median
55.90%1.789IQM
55.81%1.792Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.74 under the IQM model: 55.90%

EV -2.74%Edge -1.58%Kelly -3.70%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

BookmakerNevada Wolf Pack (Local) ▼Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Visit)MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -2.97% E -1.35% K -2.48% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -4.42% E -2.58% K -6.22% G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-20 20:49
Caesars2.19I 45.66% NM 43.85%EV -3.41% E -1.56% K -2.87% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 56.15%EV -4.42% E -2.58% K -6.22% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 14:15
FanDuel2.18I 45.87% NM 43.81%EV -3.85% E -1.77% K -3.26% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 56.19%EV -4.98% E -2.93% K -7.11% G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 16:20
Bovada2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -5.18% E -2.41% K -4.50% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -2.74% E -1.58% K -3.70% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-06 14:14
GTbets2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -5.18% E -2.41% K -4.50% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -2.74% E -1.58% K -3.70% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-06 14:14
Coolbet2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -5.18% E -2.41% K -4.50% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -4.42% E -2.58% K -6.22% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 14:19
DraftKings2.14I 46.73% NM 44.85%EV -5.62% E -2.62% K -4.93% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 55.15%EV -2.74% E -1.58% K -3.70% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 14:10
Unibet (UK)2.14I 46.73% NM 44.27%EV -5.62% E -2.62% K -4.93% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 55.73%EV -4.98% E -2.93% K -7.11% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 14:15
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62% NM 44.00%EV -7.38% E -3.51% K -6.71% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 56.00%EV -7.77% E -4.71% K -11.96% G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-10 16:30
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78% NM 44.59%EV -9.59% E -4.68% K -9.13% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 55.41%EV -7.77% E -4.71% K -11.96% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-06 14:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth