Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nevada Wolf Pack v Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

2026-09-06 02:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nevada Wolf Pack (Local)

Prediction 43.07%2.32fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.34%43.03%43.10%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.202.202.2647.17%45.42%45.45%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Visit)

Prediction 56.93%1.76fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -3.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.14%56.97%56.90%57.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.671.681.7161.73%59.72%59.52%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Nevada Wolf Pack (Local): 43.07%; Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Visit): 56.93%. For Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.71, with an expected value of -2.65%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -2.67%E -1.18%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -5.49%E -3.31%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 13:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.10%E -1.38%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.78%E -2.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 13:29
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.10%E -1.38%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.78%E -2.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 13:30
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.10%E -1.38%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 16:03
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.53%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 22:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -4.39%E -1.98%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -7.20%E -4.42%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 00:34
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.65%E -1.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 22:09
GTbets🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.65%E -1.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 22:09
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 22:10
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 22:38
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 22:39
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.78%E -2.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 22:29
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.78%E -2.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 22:40
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 13:29
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 21:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 21:20
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 21:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 21:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 21:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 21:20
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 21:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.49%E -3.31%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 16:05
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.49%E -3.31%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.49%E -3.31%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 21:19
MyBookie.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.11%E -2.80%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.49%E -3.31%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 13:33
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.11%E -2.80%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.41%E -3.44%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.41%E -3.44%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.20%E -4.42%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 16:04
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -8.70%E -4.10%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -7.77%E -4.80%K -12.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-06 09:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.