Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nevada Wolf Pack v Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

2026-09-06 02:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nevada Wolf Pack (Local)

Prediction 43.89%2.28fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.34%43.98%43.81%46.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.142.152.2248.78%46.77%46.51%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Visit)

Prediction 56.11%1.78fair odd
EV +0.441%
Edge +0.246%
Kelly +0.558%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.51%56.02%56.19%57.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.711.711.7961.73%58.38%58.48%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Nevada Wolf Pack (Local): 43.89%; Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Visit): 56.11%. For Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.79, producing a positive expected value of +0.441%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -9.59%E -4.66%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV +0.441%E +0.246%K +0.558%G +0.002%4.4%2026-08-10 23:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -9.59%E -4.66%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV +0.441%E +0.246%K +0.558%G +0.002%4.4%2026-08-10 23:14
Bally Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -9.59%E -4.66%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV +0.441%E +0.246%K +0.558%G +0.002%4.4%2026-08-10 23:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -9.59%E -4.66%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV +0.441%E +0.246%K +0.558%G +0.002%4.4%2026-08-10 23:15
Pinnacle🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.08%E -2.84%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.80%E -1.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 08:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -9.59%E -4.66%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -1.80%E -1.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 23:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -9.59%E -4.66%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -1.80%E -1.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 23:14
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -9.59%E -4.66%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -1.80%E -1.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 23:15
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.64%E -2.62%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.36%E -1.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 08:25
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -9.59%E -4.66%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -2.36%E -1.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 23:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -9.59%E -4.66%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -2.36%E -1.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 23:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.05%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-10 14:19
GTbets🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.05%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 15:00
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.05%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-10 14:19
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.05%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-10 14:19
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.05%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 12:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.05%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 11:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.05%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 11:49
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.64%E -2.62%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.05%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 08:24
Caesars🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.01%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 15:04
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 22:38
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 22:39
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.32%E -1.98%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 14:20
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.76%E -2.20%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 05:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -6.08%E -2.84%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 23:14
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.17%E -3.06%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 22:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.64%E -2.62%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.17%E -3.06%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 08:28
MyBookie.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.52%E -3.06%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.17%E -3.06%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.64%E -2.62%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.73%E -3.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 22:40
ReBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33%EV -7.40%E -3.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -5.73%E -3.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 10:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.41%E -4.49%K -11.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-10 14:25
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.41%E -4.49%K -11.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-10 23:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -2.57%E -1.16%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -8.54%E -5.24%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 00:34
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.10%E -5.62%K -14.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-12 00:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%6.1%2026-08-15 03:14

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