The School of Odds

Nevada Wolf Pack v Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

2026-09-06 02:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Nevada Wolf Pack (Local)

Prediction 43.52%2.30fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.01%43.51%43.53%44.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.102.192.202.2247.62%45.75%45.45%45.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Visit)

Prediction 56.48%1.77fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -4.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.00%56.49%56.47%56.99%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.651.681.681.7160.61%59.51%59.52%58.48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.38%E -1.52%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.12%E -3.04%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-14 18:35
Caesars2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.82%E -1.73%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.99%E -2.34%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 19:45
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-20 21:04
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-20 22:35
GTbets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-20 22:30
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-20 21:05
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.34%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 22:30
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.12%E -3.04%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 20:55
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.12%E -3.04%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 21:20
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.12%E -3.04%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 21:20
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.12%E -3.04%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 21:20
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.12%E -3.04%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 21:19
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 21:19
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 21:20
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 21:19
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.24%E -3.76%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.24%E -3.76%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 21:19
MyBookie.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.99%E -2.78%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.12%E -3.04%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 21:04
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-20 21:05
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-20 22:25
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.61%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-10 16:30
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.61%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-28 00:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.