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Nevada Wolf Pack v San Jose State Spartans

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 21:05 UTC

Final: Nevada Wolf Pack 28–13 San Jose State Spartans

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nevada Wolf Pack (Local)

Prediction 66.42%1.51fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.20%66.36%66.43%68.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.441.441.4873.53%69.60%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Jose State Spartans (Visit)

Prediction 33.58%2.98fair odd
EV +0.729%
Edge +0.243%
Kelly +0.364%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.19%33.64%33.57%35.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.792.803.0038.46%35.89%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nevada Wolf Pack (Local): 66.42%; San Jose State Spartans (Visit): 33.58%. For San Jose State Spartans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.729%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
MyBookie.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -7.67%E -5.52%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +0.729%E +0.243%K +0.364%G +0.003%5.3%2026-10-24 20:54
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.66%E -7.11%K -26.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.729%E +0.243%K +0.364%G +0.003%6.9%2026-10-24 20:49
theScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.63%E -0.906%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-24 20:50
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.63%E -0.906%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-24 20:49
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.01%E -3.51%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.63%E -0.906%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 20:50
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.01%E -3.51%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.63%E -0.906%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 20:50
Everygame🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.01%E -3.51%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.63%E -0.906%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 20:51
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.68%E -4.00%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.63%E -0.906%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-24 20:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -2.96%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-24 20:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -2.96%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-24 20:54
Caesars🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.01%E -3.51%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.30%E -1.15%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 20:48
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%EV -7.01%E -5.00%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -3.97%E -1.39%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 20:50
ReBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.69%E -2.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.31%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 20:55
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.31%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 20:50
GTbets🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.31%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 20:49
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.31%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 20:50
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.31%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 20:53
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.01%E -3.51%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.31%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 20:55
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.01%E -3.51%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.31%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 20:54
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-24 20:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.99%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 20:55
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.01%E -3.51%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.99%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 20:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.68%E -4.00%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.99%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 20:55
NordicBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.34%E -4.50%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.99%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 20:55
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.01%E -5.00%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.99%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 20:50
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -6.34%E -4.50%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -6.66%E -2.39%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 20:54
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.69%E -2.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.67%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 20:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.69%E -2.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.67%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.67%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 20:55
picklebet_au🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.67%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 20:54
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.67%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 20:55
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.67%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 20:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.34%E -3.46%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 20:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.36%E -1.60%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.34%E -3.46%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 20:40
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.36%E -1.60%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.34%E -3.46%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 20:41
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.36%E -1.60%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.34%E -3.46%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 20:41
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.36%E -1.60%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.34%E -3.46%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 20:40
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.36%E -1.60%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.34%E -3.46%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 20:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.36%E -1.60%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.34%E -3.46%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 20:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.36%E -1.60%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.34%E -3.46%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 20:40
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.69%E -2.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.34%E -3.46%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 15:10
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.01%E -5.00%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.34%E -3.46%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.01%E -5.00%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.34%E -3.46%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 20:50
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.01%E -5.00%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.34%E -3.46%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 20:55
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.02%E -2.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -11.02%E -4.16%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 20:41
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.69%E -2.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -11.02%E -4.16%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 20:40
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.01%E -5.00%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -11.02%E -4.16%K -6.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 20:54
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -3.69%E -2.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.70%E -4.89%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 20:49
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -3.69%E -2.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.70%E -4.89%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 20:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-10-24 20:55
Novig◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.74%2.99I 33.44%NM 33.26%0.6%2026-10-24 20:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-10-24 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-10-24 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-10-24 20:50
ProphetX◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-10-24 20:55
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-10-24 20:05
Polymarket◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-10-24 19:25
BetOpenly◎1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%6.1%2026-10-24 20:50