Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.80
assuming max odds 1.53
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nevada Wolf Pack (Local): 35.32%; Montana State Bobcats (Visit): 64.68%. For Montana State Bobcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.55. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.53, with an expected value of -1.04%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.57%E -3.82%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 02:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 02:28 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.10%E -0.392%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.86%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 02:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-13 02:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.57%E -3.82%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 01:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -4.28%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 02:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.63%E -2.44%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 21:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-13 02:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-13 02:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-13 02:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-13 02:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-13 02:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.92%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 23:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.92%E -3.35%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 23:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.57%E -3.82%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 02:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 02:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 02:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.87%EV -4.98%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.13%EV -6.86%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 23:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -5.34%E -1.99%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -3.63%E -2.44%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-13 01:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -5.34%E -1.99%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 01:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.28%EV -6.04%E -2.27%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 02:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.28%EV -6.04%E -2.27%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 02:28 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.40%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 01:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.40%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 02:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.40%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 02:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.40%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.57%E -3.82%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 02:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.40%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.57%E -3.82%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 02:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.40%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 02:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -7.81%E -2.99%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 01:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -1.04%E -0.682%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 02:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.86%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 02:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.93%E -3.89%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.98%E -1.99%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.93%E -3.89%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.98%E -1.99%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.69%E -4.68%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.98%E -1.99%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 02:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.69%E -4.68%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.98%E -1.99%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 02:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 1.1% | 2026-09-13 02:28 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36% | 1.8% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36% | 1.8% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59% | 2.3% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90% | 2.5% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |