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Nevada Wolf Pack v Air Force Falcons

2026-09-26 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nevada Wolf Pack (Local)

Prediction 36.58%2.73fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.460%
Kelly -0.730%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.94%36.46%36.59%37.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.542.602.602.7039.37%38.44%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Air Force Falcons (Visit)

Prediction 63.42%1.58fair odd
EV -4.23%
Edge -2.80%
Kelly -8.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.81%63.54%63.41%65.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.481.491.5169.44%67.57%67.11%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Nevada Wolf Pack (Local): 36.58%; Air Force Falcons (Visit): 63.42%. For Nevada Wolf Pack (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.70, with an expected value of -1.24%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.24%E -0.460%K -0.730%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.04%E -5.54%K -17.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 08:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.07%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 07:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.07%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.04%E -5.54%K -17.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 07:29
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.17%E -1.59%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.23%E -2.80%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 07:29
ReBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.78%EV -4.17%E -1.59%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.22%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 07:29
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.87%E -3.24%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 07:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.87%E -3.24%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 07:39
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.90%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 07:34
Bet Right🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.63%E -2.18%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.23%E -2.80%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 07:38
SportsBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -6.36%E -2.49%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -6.77%E -4.60%K -14.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 07:29
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.23%E -2.80%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 09:03
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.50%E -3.69%K -11.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 07:39
NordicBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -7.09%E -2.79%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -5.50%E -3.69%K -11.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 09:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%3.0%2026-09-20 12:54
Novig◎2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%6.5%2026-09-20 11:54