Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC State Wolfpack v Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC

Final: NC State Wolfpack 14–38 Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC State Wolfpack (Local)

Prediction 38.98%2.57fair odd
EV -0.613%
Edge -0.240%
Kelly -0.395%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%38.94%39.08%40.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.452.452.5544.44%40.75%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Visit)

Prediction 61.02%1.64fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.704%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.45%61.06%60.92%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.561.571.6266.67%64.21%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: NC State Wolfpack (Local): 38.98%; Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Visit): 61.02%. For NC State Wolfpack (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -0.613%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.613%E -0.240%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-10 15:40
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.613%E -0.240%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-10 15:55
Betway🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.613%E -0.240%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-10 15:50
ReBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -0.613%E -0.240%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-10 15:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.613%E -0.240%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.63%E -4.33%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.613%E -0.240%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.85%E -5.20%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.613%E -0.240%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.85%E -5.20%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:55
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.613%E -0.240%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.85%E -5.20%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:55
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.613%E -0.240%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.85%E -5.20%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:55
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.613%E -0.240%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.85%E -5.20%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.613%E -0.240%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.85%E -5.20%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.613%E -0.240%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.85%E -5.20%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:54
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.613%E -0.240%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.46%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.613%E -0.240%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.46%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 15:55
Pinnacle🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -1.00%E -0.395%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-10 15:45
MyBookie.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -2.17%E -0.865%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -6.63%E -4.33%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 15:54
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-10 15:45
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-10 15:40
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.02%E -3.91%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 15:50
Caesars🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -4.12%E -1.67%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -3.58%E -2.27%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.75%E -1.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-10 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.75%E -1.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-10 15:55
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.97%E -1.87%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-10 15:45
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 15:45
betfred_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 15:55
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.46%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 15:52
Coolbet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.68%E -2.35%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 15:44
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.14%E -0.704%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.36%E -1.48%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 15:30
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.36%E -1.48%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 15:30
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.97%E -1.87%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 15:30
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.58%E -2.27%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 15:40
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:40
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:39
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 15:45
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 15:45
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.63%E -4.33%K -12.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -8.46%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-10 15:50
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -8.02%E -3.40%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -1.75%E -1.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.41%E -3.58%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.36%E -1.48%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 15:29
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.41%E -3.58%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.36%E -1.48%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 15:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.41%E -3.58%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.58%E -2.27%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 15:55
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.41%E -3.58%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.58%E -2.27%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 14:01
SportsBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -9.97%E -4.31%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 15:45
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -12.31%E -5.47%K -9.84%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -6.63%E -4.33%K -12.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 15:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-10-10 15:10
ProphetX◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%0.2%2026-10-10 15:50
Matchbook◎2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%0.3%2026-10-10 15:55
Novig◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-10-10 15:50
Polymarket◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-10-10 15:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-10-10 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-10-10 15:45
BetOpenly◎2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%1.8%2026-10-10 15:55