Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.34
assuming max odds 3.65
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: NC State Wolfpack (Local): 72.67%; California Golden Bears (Visit): 27.33%. For California Golden Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.65, with an expected value of -0.237%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.63%E -1.96%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-31 16:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.35%E -2.52%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-31 15:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.35%E -2.52%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-31 15:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.35%E -2.52%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-31 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.35%E -2.52%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.70%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-31 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.35%E -2.52%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.70%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-31 15:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.35%E -2.52%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.80%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-31 15:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -4.08%E -3.09%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -0.237%E -0.065%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-31 16:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.08%E -3.09%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.97%E -0.837%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-31 16:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.08%E -3.09%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.97%E -0.837%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-31 15:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.08%E -3.09%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.97%E -0.837%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-31 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.08%E -3.09%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.97%E -0.837%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-31 15:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.08%E -3.09%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-31 15:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.08%E -3.09%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.80%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-30 21:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.81%E -3.67%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.60%E -0.445%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-31 14:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.81%E -3.67%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.60%E -0.445%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-31 02:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.81%E -3.67%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.60%E -0.445%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-30 21:58 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.81%E -3.67%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.97%E -0.837%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-31 15:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.81%E -3.67%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-30 21:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.81%E -3.67%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.70%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-31 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.81%E -3.67%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.70%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-31 15:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -5.53%E -4.26%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -2.42%E -0.679%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-31 15:28 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.53%E -4.26%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.97%E -0.837%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-31 13:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.53%E -4.26%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.97%E -0.837%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-31 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.53%E -4.26%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.97%E -0.837%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-31 13:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.53%E -4.26%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.97%E -0.837%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-31 12:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.53%E -4.26%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.97%E -0.837%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-31 12:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.53%E -4.26%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.97%E -0.837%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-31 13:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.53%E -4.26%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.97%E -0.837%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-31 12:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.53%E -4.26%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-31 15:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.53%E -4.26%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-31 12:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.53%E -4.26%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-31 15:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.53%E -4.26%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.70%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-31 14:55 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.53%E -4.26%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-31 15:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.53%E -4.26%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-31 15:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.53%E -4.26%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-31 16:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.53%E -4.26%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-31 15:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.53%E -4.26%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.80%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-31 15:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.53%E -4.26%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.80%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-31 15:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.53%E -4.26%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.17%E -3.44%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-30 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.26%E -4.85%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.97%E -0.837%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-31 12:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.26%E -4.85%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.97%E -0.837%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-31 12:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.26%E -4.85%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-31 16:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.26%E -4.85%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.17%E -3.44%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-31 15:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.44%EV -6.99%E -5.46%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.56%EV -3.24%E -0.916%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-31 15:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.99%E -5.46%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.70%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-31 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.99%E -5.46%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.80%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-31 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.99%E -5.46%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.80%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-31 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -9.17%E -7.33%K -36.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-31 16:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.63% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 26.37% | 0.6% | 2026-10-31 15:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-10-31 16:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-10-31 12:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-10-31 16:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 2.2% | 2026-10-31 15:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71% | 2.6% | 2026-10-31 14:15 |