The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

NC State Wolfpack v Appalachian State Mountaineers

2026-09-26 23:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC State Wolfpack (Local)

Prediction 81.19%1.23fair odd
EV -4.20%
Edge -3.56%
Kelly -23.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.90%81.23%81.19%81.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.171.171.1886.21%85.62%85.47%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Appalachian State Mountaineers (Visit)

Prediction 18.81%5.32fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -0.419%
Kelly -0.519%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.37%18.77%18.81%20.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.654.955.005.2021.51%20.22%20.00%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: NC State Wolfpack (Local): 81.19%; Appalachian State Mountaineers (Visit): 18.81%. For Appalachian State Mountaineers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.32. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.20, with an expected value of -2.18%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.20%E -3.56%K -23.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.94%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 07:44
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.01%E -4.28%K -29.47%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.18%E -0.419%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 12:09
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.01%E -4.28%K -29.47%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.06%E -0.796%K -0.991%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 12:14
Bet Right🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.01%E -4.28%K -29.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.94%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 12:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.01%E -4.28%K -29.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.94%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 12:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.01%E -4.28%K -29.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.94%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 12:14
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -5.01%E -4.28%K -29.47%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -12.53%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 12:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.82%E -5.02%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.94%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 12:18
ReBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.82%E -5.02%K -36.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.70%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 12:14
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -5.82%E -5.02%K -36.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -11.59%E -2.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 12:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.14I 87.72%NM 81.82%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.18%7.2%2026-09-20 12:13