Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Navy Midshipmen v Tulsa Golden Hurricane

2026-10-10 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Navy Midshipmen (Local)

Prediction 59.46%1.68fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -5.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%59.46%59.45%60.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.591.591.6263.69%62.96%62.89%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane (Visit)

Prediction 40.54%2.47fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%40.54%40.55%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.342.352.4044.44%42.77%42.55%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Navy Midshipmen (Local): 59.46%; Tulsa Golden Hurricane (Visit): 40.54%. For Tulsa Golden Hurricane (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.40, with an expected value of -2.70%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.68%E -2.27%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.75%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 11:55
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.28%E -2.66%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -4.32%E -1.83%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 12:55
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.51%E -1.47%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 12:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.51%E -1.47%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 12:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.51%E -1.47%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 12:34
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.51%E -1.47%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 12:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.75%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -7.56%E -3.32%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 11:14
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.46%E -3.44%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.70%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 12:54
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.06%E -3.83%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 12:34
ReBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.06%E -3.83%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.56%E -3.32%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-04 12:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 12:35
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 12:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 12:34
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -6.34%E -2.75%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 12:54
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-04 12:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-10-04 12:55
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%3.2%2026-10-04 12:52
Novig◎1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%4.6%2026-10-04 13:16