Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Navy Midshipmen v Temple Owls

2026-11-07 20:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

72%

28%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Navy Midshipmen (Local)

Prediction 71.84%1.39fair odd

EV +0.578%

Edge +0.413%

Kelly +1.45%

Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

68.41%71.55%71.58%72.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.281.331.331.4078.13%75.35%75.19%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Temple Owls (Visit)

Prediction 28.16%3.55fair odd

EV -1.45%

Edge -0.413%

Kelly -0.578%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.23%28.45%28.42%31.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.883.243.253.5034.72%30.89%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Navy Midshipmen (Local): 71.84%; Temple Owls (Visit): 28.16%. For Navy Midshipmen (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.39. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.40, producing a positive expected value of +0.578%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV +0.578%E +0.413%K +1.45%G +0.008%	3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-01 18:30
Coolbet🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.73%E -2.79%K -10.98%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-01 19:09
Bet Right🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.73%E -2.79%K -10.98%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-01 18:30
SportsBet🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 69.61%EV -3.73%E -2.79%K -10.98%G +0.000%	3.07I 32.57%NM 30.39%EV -13.55%E -4.41%K -6.55%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-01 18:30
theScore Bet🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.45%E -3.35%K -13.49%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.45%E -0.413%K -0.578%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-01 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.45%E -3.35%K -13.49%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.67%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-01 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.45%E -3.35%K -13.49%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-01 19:10
Paddy Power🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -4.45%E -3.35%K -13.49%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -18.90%E -6.56%K -10.06%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-11-01 18:30
DraftKings🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.17%E -3.92%K -16.15%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.45%E -0.413%K -0.578%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-01 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.17%E -3.92%K -16.15%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-01 18:50
Caesars🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.89%E -4.49%K -18.99%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.45%E -0.413%K -0.578%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-01 19:09
ReBet🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -5.89%E -4.49%K -18.99%G +0.000%	3.22I 31.06%NM 28.92%EV -9.33%E -2.90%K -4.20%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-11-01 18:50
LeoVegas🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.61%E -5.08%K -22.02%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-11-01 18:59
picklebet_au🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -8.04%E -6.28%K -28.72%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%EV -15.53%E -5.18%K -7.76%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-11-01 18:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%	3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%	1.0%	2026-11-01 18:35
Polymarket◎	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%	3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%	5.0%	2026-11-01 18:40
ProphetX◎	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%	5.3%	2026-11-01 19:15
Novig◎	1.31I 76.34%NM 70.16%	3.08I 32.47%NM 29.84%	8.8%	2026-11-01 19:15