Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Navy Midshipmen v Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 16:07 UTC

Final: Navy Midshipmen 13–35 Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

95%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Navy Midshipmen (Local)

Prediction 4.98%20.07fair odd

EV +129.23%

Edge +2.81%

Kelly +2.87%

Growth +3.71%

assuming max odds 46.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

2.13%5.06%4.97%9.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

10.0021.1019.0046.0010.00%4.74%5.26%2.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit)

Prediction 95.02%1.05fair odd

EV -3.08%

Edge -3.02%

Kelly -154.15%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

90.83%94.94%95.03%97.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.001.011.011.02100.00%99.14%99.01%98.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Navy Midshipmen (Local): 4.98%; Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit): 95.02%. For Navy Midshipmen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 20.07. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 46.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +129.23%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Paddy Power🎯	46.00I 2.17%NM 2.13%EV +129.23%E +2.81%K +2.87%G +3.71%	1.00I 100.00%NM 97.87%EV -4.98%E -4.98%K +0.000%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-10-31 16:00
BetMGM🎯	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.40%EV +104.32%E +2.54%K +2.61%G +2.72%	1.01I 99.01%NM 97.60%EV -4.03%E -3.99%K -403.31%G +0.000%	1.4%	2026-10-31 15:50
SportsBet🎯	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +104.32%E +2.54%K +2.61%G +2.72%	1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.98%E -4.98%K +0.000%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-10-30 21:59
betfred_uk🎯	29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +44.52%E +1.54%K +1.59%G +0.708%	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.03%E -3.99%K -403.31%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-10-31 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +44.52%E +1.54%K +1.59%G +0.708%	1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -4.98%E -4.98%K +0.000%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-10-31 15:10
Coral🎯	29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +44.52%E +1.54%K +1.59%G +0.708%	1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -4.98%E -4.98%K +0.000%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-10-31 15:10
Fanatics🎯	26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +29.57%E +1.14%K +1.18%G +0.350%	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.03%E -3.99%K -403.31%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-10-26 14:14
FanDuel🎯	25.00I 4.00%NM 3.85%EV +24.58%E +0.983%K +1.02%G +0.252%	1.00I 100.00%NM 96.15%EV -4.98%E -4.98%K +0.000%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-10-31 16:00
DraftKings🎯	23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +14.62%E +0.635%K +0.664%G +0.097%	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.03%E -3.99%K -403.31%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-10-31 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯	23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +14.62%E +0.635%K +0.664%G +0.097%	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.03%E -3.99%K -403.31%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-10-31 16:04
theScore Bet🎯	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +4.65%E +0.221%K +0.232%G +0.011%	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.03%E -3.99%K -403.31%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-10-27 18:20
GTbets🎯	20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV -0.334%E -0.017%K -0.018%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.03%E -3.99%K -403.31%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-10-27 18:05
BetOnline.ag🎯	19.67I 5.08%NM 4.88%EV -1.98%E -0.101%K -0.106%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.12%EV -4.03%E -3.99%K -403.31%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-31 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯	19.67I 5.08%NM 4.88%EV -1.98%E -0.101%K -0.106%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.12%EV -4.03%E -3.99%K -403.31%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-31 14:55
Caesars🎯	19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -5.32%E -0.280%K -0.295%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.03%E -3.99%K -403.31%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-10-31 16:03
Betway🎯	19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -5.32%E -0.280%K -0.295%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.03%E -3.99%K -403.31%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-10-31 15:55
Coolbet🎯	16.50I 6.06%NM 5.77%EV -17.78%E -1.08%K -1.15%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.23%EV -4.03%E -3.99%K -403.31%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-24 10:15
Bet Right🎯	16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -20.27%E -1.27%K -1.35%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.03%E -3.99%K -403.31%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-25 01:30
NordicBet🎯	16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -20.27%E -1.27%K -1.35%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.03%E -3.99%K -403.31%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-31 16:00
MyBookie.ag🎯	16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -20.27%E -1.27%K -1.35%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.03%E -3.99%K -403.31%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-31 14:04
Betsson🎯	15.50I 6.45%NM 6.12%EV -22.76%E -1.47%K -1.57%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.88%EV -4.03%E -3.99%K -403.31%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-31 16:00
William Hill🎯	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -25.25%E -1.68%K -1.80%G +0.000%	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.08%E -3.02%K -154.15%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-27 00:55
picklebet_au🎯	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -25.25%E -1.68%K -1.80%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.03%E -3.99%K -403.31%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-10-31 16:05
BoyleSports🎯	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -25.25%E -1.68%K -1.80%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.03%E -3.99%K -403.31%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-10-31 14:05
ReBet🎯	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -25.25%E -1.68%K -1.80%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.03%E -3.99%K -403.31%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-10-31 16:00
Betr (AU)🎯	14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -28.99%E -2.03%K -2.19%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.03%E -3.99%K -403.31%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-10-25 01:30
Bet Victor🎯	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -35.22%E -2.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.03%E -3.99%K -403.31%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-10-31 15:49
betano_uk🎯	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -35.22%E -2.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.03%E -3.99%K -403.31%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-10-31 15:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -37.71%E -3.02%K -3.28%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -4.03%E -3.99%K -403.31%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-10-31 16:00
LeoVegas🎯	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -50.17%E -5.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -4.03%E -3.99%K -403.31%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-10-25 01:24

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
BetOpenly◎	62.00I 1.61%NM 1.62%	1.02I 98.04%NM 98.38%	-0.3%	2026-10-31 15:55
Matchbook◎	36.00I 2.78%NM 2.76%	1.02I 98.04%NM 97.24%	0.8%	2026-10-31 15:50
Polymarket◎	34.48I 2.90%NM 2.87%	1.02I 98.04%NM 97.13%	0.9%	2026-10-31 16:05
Kalshi◎	33.33I 3.00%NM 2.97%	1.02I 98.04%NM 97.03%	1.0%	2026-10-29 10:45
Novig◎	32.26I 3.10%NM 3.06%	1.02I 98.04%NM 96.94%	1.1%	2026-10-31 16:05
ProphetX◎	32.00I 3.13%NM 3.09%	1.02I 98.04%NM 96.91%	1.2%	2026-10-31 16:00

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