Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Navy Midshipmen v Notre Dame Fighting Irish

2026-10-31 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Navy Midshipmen (Local)

Prediction 5.50%18.19fair odd
EV +26.47%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.319%

assuming max odds 23.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.21%5.50%5.50%6.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
14.0018.5018.5023.007.14%5.41%5.41%4.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit)

Prediction 94.50%1.06fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -3.54%
Kelly -180.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
93.21%94.50%94.50%95.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.021.021.0299.01%98.52%98.52%98.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Navy Midshipmen (Local): 5.50%; Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit): 94.50%. For Navy Midshipmen (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 18.19. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 23.00, producing a positive expected value of +26.47%.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +26.47%E +1.15%K +1.20%G +0.319%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-21 21:59
Unibet (UK)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -23.02%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-21 21:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎33.33I 3.00%NM 2.97%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.03%1.0%2026-10-21 22:00