Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Missouri Tigers v Texas A&M Aggies

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 16:07 UTC

Final: Missouri Tigers 27–6 Texas A&M Aggies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Missouri Tigers (Local)

Prediction 63.89%1.57fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -4.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.19%63.84%63.94%66.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.491.491.5369.44%67.12%67.11%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas A&M Aggies (Visit)

Prediction 36.11%2.77fair odd
EV +2.90%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.57%
Growth +0.046%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.72%36.16%36.06%37.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.622.602.8540.00%38.10%38.46%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Missouri Tigers (Local): 63.89%; Texas A&M Aggies (Visit): 36.11%. For Texas A&M Aggies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.90%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -7.35%E -5.07%K -16.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV +2.90%E +1.02%K +1.57%G +0.046%4.1%2026-10-10 16:04
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.709%E -0.258%K -0.405%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 15:50
BetAnything🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.709%E -0.258%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 16:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.07%E -0.391%K -0.615%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-10 15:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.07%E -0.391%K -0.615%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-10 15:50
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.52%E -2.33%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.51%E -0.931%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-10 16:00
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.51%E -0.931%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-10 15:50
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.51%E -0.931%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-10 16:01
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.51%E -0.931%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-10 16:00
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.51%E -0.931%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 15:50
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.51%E -0.931%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 15:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.51%E -0.931%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 15:50
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.51%E -0.931%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 15:50
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.51%E -0.931%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 15:55
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -3.24%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-10 15:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 15:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 15:59
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 16:00
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -4.68%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 16:05
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.04%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.04%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 15:50
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.04%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 15:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.04%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 15:50
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 15:49
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 15:50
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 15:50
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 15:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 15:50
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 15:50
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 15:50
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 15:49
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -7.21%E -2.80%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 16:04
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.37%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.63%EV -7.57%E -2.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 15:59
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.24%E -1.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.88%E -1.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 16:05
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 15:55
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 15:52
Betr (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 15:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 16:00
Fliff🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 16:04
ReBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.88%E -1.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.74%E -3.89%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 16:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.74%E -3.89%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 16:03
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.74%E -3.89%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 16:00
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.74%E -3.89%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 16:00
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.74%E -3.89%K -6.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%0.2%2026-10-10 15:59
Novig◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-10-10 16:05
ProphetX◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-10-10 16:00
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-10-10 16:00
Polymarket◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-10-10 15:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-10-10 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-10-10 16:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.6%2026-10-10 16:05
BetOpenly◎1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%3.0%2026-10-10 15:40