Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Missouri Tigers v Florida Gators

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 19:50 UTC

Final: Missouri Tigers 45–17 Florida Gators

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Missouri Tigers (Local)

Prediction 34.87%2.87fair odd
EV +1.11%
Edge +0.382%
Kelly +0.584%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.18%35.05%34.99%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.742.762.9040.00%36.47%36.17%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida Gators (Visit)

Prediction 65.13%1.54fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -3.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.95%65.01%66.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.451.451.5170.42%68.76%68.97%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Missouri Tigers (Local): 34.87%; Florida Gators (Visit): 65.13%. For Missouri Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.87. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV +1.11%E +0.382%K +0.584%G +0.006%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-03 12:51
BetOnline.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV +0.760%E +0.263%K +0.402%G +0.003%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-03 12:51
LowVig.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV +0.760%E +0.263%K +0.402%G +0.003%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-03 12:50
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.634%E -0.223%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-03 18:29
BetAnything🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.634%E -0.223%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-03 12:51
Everygame🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.634%E -0.223%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-03 19:28
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.634%E -0.223%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.634%E -0.223%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 19:30
Bally Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.634%E -0.223%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 19:30
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.634%E -0.223%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 19:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.634%E -0.223%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 19:30
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.38%E -0.849%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-03 19:40
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.38%E -0.849%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.90%E -3.36%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-01 22:55
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.38%E -0.849%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-03 19:40
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.38%E -0.849%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 19:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.38%E -0.849%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 13:40
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.38%E -0.849%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 13:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.38%E -0.849%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.38%E -0.849%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-03 19:30
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.38%E -0.849%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-03 19:30
Caesars🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -3.07%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-01 22:55
Coolbet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.07%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-03 19:25
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-03 19:45
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-03 19:45
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 14:24
Dabble (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 19:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 19:25
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.30%E -1.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-03 19:45
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.90%E -3.36%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-03 19:45
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.86%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 14:29
GTbets🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -6.21%E -2.31%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-03 19:35
NordicBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -6.91%E -2.59%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-03 19:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -6.91%E -2.59%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-03 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 19:45
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 19:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-03 19:45
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -1.65%E -1.09%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-03 19:45
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-03 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.65%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-03 19:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.30%E -1.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 19:45
SportsBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -10.75%E -4.20%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-03 19:45
MyBookie.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.09%E -4.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.30%E -1.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-03 19:45
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.84%E -5.13%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.30%E -1.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-03 19:44
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.84%E -5.13%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.30%E -1.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-03 19:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%0.9%2026-10-03 19:45
Novig◎3.08I 32.47%NM 32.16%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.84%1.0%2026-10-03 19:45
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%1.0%2026-10-03 19:30
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67%2.7%2026-10-03 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%3.0%2026-10-03 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 33.64%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.36%3.2%2026-10-03 19:45
BetOpenly◎2.79I 35.84%NM 34.66%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.34%3.4%2026-10-03 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%3.9%2026-10-03 19:45