The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Missouri State Bears v Sam Houston State Bearkats

Kickoff: 2026-10-28 00:08 UTC

Final: Missouri State Bears 24–3 Sam Houston State Bearkats

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Missouri State Bears (Local)

Prediction 65.09%1.54fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.702%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.11%65.01%65.02%66.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.451.5271.43%68.80%68.97%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sam Houston State Bearkats (Visit)

Prediction 34.91%2.86fair odd
EV +0.549%
Edge +0.191%
Kelly +0.292%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.73%34.99%34.98%36.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.702.702.8840.00%37.05%37.04%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Missouri State Bears (Local): 65.09%; Sam Houston State Bearkats (Visit): 34.91%. For Sam Houston State Bearkats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.549%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21%EV -4.32%E -2.94%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%EV +0.549%E +0.191%K +0.292%G +0.002%2.7%2026-10-27 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -6.27%E -4.36%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -1.89%E -0.674%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 23:15
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.67%E -2.48%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.24%E -0.801%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-27 23:39
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.32%E -2.94%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.24%E -0.801%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-28 00:05
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.62%E -3.88%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.24%E -0.801%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-27 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.02%E -2.03%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -3.29%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-27 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.02%E -2.03%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -3.29%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-27 23:40
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.67%E -2.48%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.99%E -1.45%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-28 00:04
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.67%E -2.48%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.99%E -1.45%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-27 23:59
Fanatics🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.32%E -2.94%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.99%E -1.45%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-27 23:40
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.62%E -3.88%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.99%E -1.45%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-28 00:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.62%E -3.88%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.99%E -1.45%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-28 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.27%E -4.36%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.99%E -1.45%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-28 00:04
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.27%E -4.36%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.99%E -1.45%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-28 00:04
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.27%E -4.36%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.99%E -1.45%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-28 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.27%E -4.36%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.99%E -1.45%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-28 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.27%E -4.36%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.99%E -1.45%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-28 00:04
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.27%E -4.36%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.99%E -1.45%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-28 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.93%E -4.84%K -16.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.99%E -1.45%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-28 00:05
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.88%E -6.34%K -22.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.99%E -1.45%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-27 23:14
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -3.67%E -2.48%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-27 23:20
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.97%E -3.41%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.04%E -1.85%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 23:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.67%E -2.48%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.73%E -2.12%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-28 00:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.97%E -3.41%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.73%E -2.12%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-27 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.62%E -3.88%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.73%E -2.12%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-27 23:40
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.62%E -3.88%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.73%E -2.12%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-27 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.93%E -4.84%K -16.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.73%E -2.12%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 00:04
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.93%E -4.84%K -16.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.73%E -2.12%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 00:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.88%E -6.34%K -22.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.73%E -2.12%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-28 00:05
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.37%EV -7.58%E -5.34%K -18.04%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.63%EV -6.43%E -2.40%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-28 00:05
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.67%E -2.48%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.48%E -2.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-28 00:04
picklebet_au🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.62%E -3.88%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.48%E -2.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-28 00:00
ReBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.62%E -3.88%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.48%E -2.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-28 00:00
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.62%E -3.88%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.48%E -2.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-28 00:05
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.27%E -4.36%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.48%E -2.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-28 00:04
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.93%E -4.84%K -16.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.48%E -2.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-28 00:05
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -5.62%E -3.88%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -8.53%E -3.25%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 00:04
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -5.62%E -3.88%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -8.53%E -3.25%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.27%E -4.36%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.53%E -3.25%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-28 00:05
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -1.07%E -0.702%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -9.23%E -3.55%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-28 00:05
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.37%E -1.58%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.23%E -3.55%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-27 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.67%E -2.48%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.23%E -3.55%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-28 00:04
betfred_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.62%E -3.88%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.23%E -3.55%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-27 23:10
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.27%E -4.36%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.23%E -3.55%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-27 23:35
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.58%E -5.34%K -18.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -9.23%E -3.55%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-27 23:40
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -4.32%E -2.94%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -10.62%E -4.15%K -6.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 00:04
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -6.27%E -4.36%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -12.72%E -5.09%K -8.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-28 00:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-10-28 00:04
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-10-27 23:35
Polymarket◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-10-28 00:00
ProphetX◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-10-28 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-10-28 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.4%2026-10-28 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.4%2026-10-28 00:05
Matchbook◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.43%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.57%2.6%2026-10-27 23:59