The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Missouri State Bears v New Mexico State Aggies

2026-11-14 20:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Missouri State Bears (Local)

Prediction 54.91%1.82fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -3.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%55.10%54.90%56.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.711.7761.73%58.65%58.31%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Mexico State Aggies (Visit)

Prediction 45.09%2.22fair odd
EV +0.108%
Edge +0.049%
Kelly +0.089%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.04%44.90%45.10%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.102.102.2250.51%47.62%47.62%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Missouri State Bears (Local): 54.91%; New Mexico State Aggies (Visit): 45.09%. For New Mexico State Aggies (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.218. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.220, producing a positive expected value of +0.108%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -7.76%E -4.62%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV +0.108%E +0.049%K +0.089%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -9.95%E -6.07%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -2.15%E -0.989%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-08 17:10
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.46%E -2.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.05%E -1.42%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-08 18:20
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.46%E -2.57%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.05%E -1.42%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-08 18:55
Caesars🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.91%E -2.24%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.95%E -1.85%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-08 19:09
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.82%E -1.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.30%E -2.53%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-08 17:50
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.82%E -1.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.30%E -2.53%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-08 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.01%E -2.90%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.30%E -2.53%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-08 17:54
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.01%E -2.90%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.30%E -2.53%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-08 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.01%E -2.90%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.30%E -2.53%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-08 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -11.05%E -6.82%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -5.30%E -2.53%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-08 17:08
ReBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.66%E -3.92%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.20%E -2.98%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-08 17:50
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.66%E -3.92%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-08 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.31%E -4.97%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-08 18:20
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -7.76%E -4.62%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -8.91%E -4.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-08 17:49
picklebet_au🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.85%EV -10.50%E -6.44%K -16.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.15%EV -10.71%E -5.41%K -10.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-08 17:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%7.1%2026-11-08 19:40
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%8.9%2026-11-08 19:50
ProphetX◎1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%9.4%2026-11-08 19:50

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