Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Missouri State Bears v Marshall Thundering Herd

2026-09-19 22:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

37%

63%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Missouri State Bears (Local)

Prediction 36.89%2.71fair odd

EV -4.08%

Edge -1.57%

Kelly -2.55%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

36.27%37.69%36.89%40.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.362.512.502.6042.37%39.87%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Marshall Thundering Herd (Visit)

Prediction 63.11%1.58fair odd

EV +2.24%

Edge +1.38%

Kelly +3.61%

Growth +0.081%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

59.30%62.31%63.11%63.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.451.501.481.6268.97%66.58%67.34%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Missouri State Bears (Local): 36.89%; Marshall Thundering Herd (Visit): 63.11%. For Marshall Thundering Herd (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.58. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.62, producing a positive expected value of +2.24%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -12.94%E -5.48%K -9.51%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV +2.24%E +1.38%K +3.61%G +0.081%	4.1%	2026-09-13 19:33
Fliff🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -9.62%E -3.93%K -6.63%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -1.55%E -0.994%K -2.77%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-13 19:34
FanDuel🎯	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.82%E -1.87%K -3.05%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.07%E -2.68%K -7.84%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-13 19:35
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.30%E -2.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.34%E -3.56%K -10.67%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-13 19:34
SportsBet🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.77%E -3.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.97%E -4.01%K -12.18%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-13 19:34
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.08%E -1.57%K -2.55%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.60%E -4.46%K -13.75%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-13 19:39
ReBet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.93%E -2.32%K -3.82%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.60%E -4.46%K -13.75%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-13 19:35
LeoVegas🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.77%E -3.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.23%E -4.92%K -15.38%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-13 19:35
betano_uk🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.77%E -3.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.49%E -5.86%K -18.87%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-09-13 19:39
Bet Victor🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.77%E -3.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.49%E -5.86%K -18.87%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-09-13 19:36

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	2.30I 43.48%NM 38.99%	1.47I 68.03%NM 61.01%	11.5%	2026-09-13 19:35