Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Missouri State Bears v Lindenwood Lions

2026-09-12 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

91%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Missouri State Bears (Local)

Prediction 90.60%1.10fair odd

EV -3.96%

Edge -3.74%

Kelly -66.06%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

88.40%90.60%89.96%92.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.041.051.041.0696.15%95.39%95.69%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lindenwood Lions (Visit)

Prediction 9.40%10.64fair odd

EV +18.44%

Edge +1.46%

Kelly +1.59%

Growth +0.293%

assuming max odds 12.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

7.62%9.40%10.04%11.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

8.009.819.5012.6012.50%10.20%10.53%7.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Missouri State Bears (Local): 90.60%; Lindenwood Lions (Visit): 9.40%. For Lindenwood Lions (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.64. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 12.60, producing a positive expected value of +18.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 92.38%EV -5.78%E -5.55%K -144.39%G +0.000%	12.60I 7.94%NM 7.62%EV +18.44%E +1.46%K +1.59%G +0.293%	4.1%	2026-09-08 01:40
Betr (AU)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.78%E -5.55%K -144.39%G +0.000%	10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -3.65%E -0.356%K -0.395%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-08 02:19
Betway🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.96%E -3.74%K -66.06%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -10.70%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-08 02:10
SportsBet🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.78%E -5.55%K -144.39%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -10.70%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-08 01:40
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.96%E -3.74%K -66.06%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -15.40%E -1.71%K -1.93%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-09-08 02:10
LeoVegas🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.87%E -4.64%K -97.40%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -24.80%E -3.10%K -3.54%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-09-08 02:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%	3.5%	2026-09-08 06:10