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Missouri State Bears v Kennesaw State Owls
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Missouri State Bears (Local)
Prediction 44.56%2.24fair odd
EV -0.623%
Edge -0.280%
Kelly -0.507%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.54%44.54%44.73%45.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.122.2350.00%47.11%47.17%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kennesaw State Owls (Visit)
Prediction 55.44%1.80fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -4.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.52%55.46%55.27%56.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.711.711.7461.73%58.55%58.48%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Missouri State Bears (Local): 44.56%; Kennesaw State Owls (Visit): 55.44%. For Missouri State Bears (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.23, with an expected value of -0.623%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -0.623%E -0.280%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-14 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -1.51%E -0.685%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-14 23:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.96%E -0.891%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-14 23:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.96%E -0.891%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-14 23:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.96%E -0.891%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-14 22:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.85%E -1.31%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.76%E -3.39%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-14 23:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.54%E -2.03%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-14 23:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.54%E -2.03%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-14 23:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.54%E -2.03%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-14 23:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.54%E -2.03%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-14 23:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.54%E -2.03%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-14 23:17 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-14 23:28 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.76%E -3.39%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 23:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.31%E -3.74%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-14 23:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.63%E -2.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.54%E -2.03%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-14 23:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.63%E -2.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-14 23:24 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -4.63%E -2.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -6.31%E -3.74%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-14 23:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -5.08%E -2.38%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-14 23:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -5.08%E -2.38%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -7.98%E -4.80%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-14 23:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 21:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 21:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 21:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-14 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-14 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.47%EV -5.97%E -2.83%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.31%E -3.74%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-14 23:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.37%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-14 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 23:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 23:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 23:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-14 21:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.76%E -3.39%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-14 23:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.76%E -3.39%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-14 23:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.31%E -3.74%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-14 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.64%E -4.22%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-14 23:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.64%E -4.22%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.76%E -3.39%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-14 23:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.64%E -4.22%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.76%E -3.39%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-14 23:23 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.64%E -4.22%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-14 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.64%E -4.22%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-14 23:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.64%E -4.22%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-14 23:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -10.87%E -5.44%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.19%E -6.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-14 23:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 0.3% | 2026-10-14 23:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19% | 0.6% | 2026-10-14 23:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-10-14 23:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-10-14 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 1.1% | 2026-10-14 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 1.1% | 2026-10-14 23:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-10-14 17:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-10-14 22:49 |