Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mississippi State Bulldogs v Missouri Tigers

2026-09-26 23:45 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

51%

49%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mississippi State Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 51.05%1.96fair odd

EV -4.54%

Edge -2.43%

Kelly -5.22%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

51.05%51.05%51.05%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.871.871.871.8753.48%53.48%53.48%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Missouri Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 48.95%2.04fair odd

EV -4.54%

Edge -2.33%

Kelly -4.78%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

48.95%48.95%48.95%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.951.951.951.9551.28%51.28%51.28%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Mississippi State Bulldogs (Local): 51.05%; Missouri Tigers (Visit): 48.95%. For Missouri Tigers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.95, with an expected value of -4.54%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-16 22:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%	4.0%	2026-09-17 01:10