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Mississippi State Bulldogs v Missouri Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mississippi State Bulldogs (Local)
Prediction 60.72%1.65fair odd
EV +8.08%
Edge +4.54%
Kelly +10.35%
Growth +0.836%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.33%60.07%60.83%61.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.581.561.7865.79%63.46%64.10%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Missouri Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 39.28%2.55fair odd
EV -0.612%
Edge -0.242%
Kelly -0.400%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.29%39.93%39.17%46.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.392.412.5350.00%41.83%41.58%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mississippi State Bulldogs (Local): 60.72%; Missouri Tigers (Visit): 39.28%. For Mississippi State Bulldogs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.65. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.08%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV +8.08%E +4.54%K +10.35%G +0.836% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -19.47%E -9.50%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 23:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV +6.25%E +3.57%K +8.34%G +0.521% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -21.43%E -10.72%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -0.425%E -0.259%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -6.90%E -2.91%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-26 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -0.425%E -0.259%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -6.90%E -2.91%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-26 23:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -1.03%E -0.633%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -12.79%E -5.76%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-26 23:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.25%E -1.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-26 23:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -2.25%E -1.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -4.93%E -2.04%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-26 23:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.25%E -1.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-26 23:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.85%E -1.78%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 23:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.46%E -2.18%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.46%E -2.18%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-26 22:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.46%E -2.18%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-26 23:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.07%E -2.57%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.07%E -2.57%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 23:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.07%E -2.57%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 23:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.07%E -2.57%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 23:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.07%E -2.57%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 23:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -0.612%E -0.242%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-26 23:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-26 22:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-26 23:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 23:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.93%E -2.04%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 23:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 23:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -4.93%E -2.04%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 23:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 23:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.65%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-26 23:33 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.65%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-26 23:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.65%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-26 23:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.58%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 23:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.58%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 23:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.58%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 23:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.58%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 23:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.58%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 23:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 22:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 23:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 23:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 22:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-26 23:41 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 23:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 23:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 23:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -5.33%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-09-26 23:44 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-09-26 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 1.4% | 2026-09-26 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 1.4% | 2026-09-26 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 2.2% | 2026-09-26 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46% | 2.6% | 2026-09-26 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22% | 2.8% | 2026-09-26 23:55 |