Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Golden Gophers v Mississippi State Bulldogs

2026-09-12 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Golden Gophers (Local)

Prediction 48.36%2.07fair odd
EV -0.863%
Edge -0.421%
Kelly -0.822%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%48.65%48.68%51.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.971.952.0555.25%50.85%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mississippi State Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 51.64%1.94fair odd
EV +2.25%
Edge +1.14%
Kelly +2.29%
Growth +0.052%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.30%51.35%51.32%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.831.811.9855.87%54.53%55.25%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Minnesota Golden Gophers (Local): 48.36%; Mississippi State Bulldogs (Visit): 51.64%. For Mississippi State Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.98, producing a positive expected value of +2.25%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -10.53%E -5.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV +2.25%E +1.14%K +2.29%G +0.052%4.6%2026-09-06 15:05
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -12.47%E -6.89%K -15.39%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -0.851%E -0.443%K -0.925%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 15:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.43%E -1.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 15:04
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.43%E -1.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 15:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.43%E -1.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 15:05
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.18%E -3.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.95%E -2.12%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -7.15%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.47%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 15:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 15:04
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 15:05
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.53%E -3.61%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 14:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.53%E -3.61%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 14:45
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.53%E -3.61%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 14:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.53%E -3.61%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 14:45
ReBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.67%E -3.45%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -6.53%E -3.61%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 15:04
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.863%E -0.421%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.05%E -3.92%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 04:20
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.05%E -3.92%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 14:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.05%E -3.92%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 14:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.05%E -3.92%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 14:44
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.63%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.05%E -3.92%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 15:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -7.56%E -4.23%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 14:45
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -7.56%E -4.23%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 14:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-09-06 06:40
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.1%2026-09-06 15:05
Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.72%DraftKings 2.05 (49.1%) / FanDuel 1.98 (50.9%)Show details
Minnesota Golden Gophers (Local)Mississippi State Bulldogs (Visit)Margin
DraftKings🎯 2.05 (49.1%)FanDuel🎯 1.98 (50.9%)+0.720%