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Minnesota Golden Gophers v Michigan Wolverines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Golden Gophers (Local)
Prediction 32.74%3.05fair odd
EV -0.144%
Edge -0.047%
Kelly -0.070%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.19%32.69%32.68%33.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.902.903.0536.36%34.48%34.48%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Michigan Wolverines (Visit)
Prediction 67.26%1.49fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -7.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.19%67.31%67.32%68.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.411.421.4473.53%70.71%70.42%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Golden Gophers (Local): 32.74%; Michigan Wolverines (Visit): 67.26%. For Minnesota Golden Gophers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.054. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.050, with an expected value of -0.144%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -0.144%E -0.047%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.16%E -3.66%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 15:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.84%EV -0.471%E -0.155%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.16%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 15:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -1.13%E -0.373%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -5.16%E -3.66%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 15:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -1.78%E -0.594%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 13:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.78%E -0.594%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.16%E -3.66%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.78%E -0.594%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 15:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.78%E -0.594%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 15:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -2.11%E -0.705%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -7.85%E -5.73%K -21.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 15:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -2.44%E -0.817%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 15:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.42%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.42%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.42%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 13:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.42%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 13:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.42%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 12:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.07%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.16%E -3.66%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 15:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.40%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 13:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -4.40%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.16%E -3.66%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 14:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 20:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-02 17:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 14:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.16%E -3.66%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.16%E -3.66%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 15:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 15:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.05%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 15:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -5.38%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -6.51%E -4.68%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 15:51 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.71%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 14:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.71%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 14:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.71%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.71%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 14:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.69%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 15:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.69%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.69%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.69%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 14:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.69%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.16%E -3.66%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.69%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.16%E -3.66%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 14:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -7.02%E -2.47%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -3.15%E -2.18%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.33%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.33%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.49%E -3.16%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.33%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.33%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 15:51 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -9.64%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19%EV -5.16%E -3.66%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.97%E -3.62%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-03 15:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.97%E -3.62%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-03 15:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.81% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.19% | 0.4% | 2026-10-03 15:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 1.2% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 1.2% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 1.2% | 2026-10-03 15:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 1.2% | 2026-10-03 15:51 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.47% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.53% | 1.3% | 2026-10-03 15:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 1.7% | 2026-10-03 15:45 |