Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders v Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

2026-11-07 20:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

51%

49%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Local)

Prediction 51.05%1.96fair odd

EV -0.970%

Edge -0.500%

Kelly -1.03%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

48.79%50.95%51.05%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.761.861.851.9456.82%53.87%53.91%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Visit)

Prediction 48.95%2.04fair odd

EV -2.09%

Edge -1.05%

Kelly -2.09%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

47.78%49.05%48.95%51.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.801.901.912.0055.56%52.59%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Local): 51.05%; Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Visit): 48.95%. For Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.94, with an expected value of -0.970%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -0.970%E -0.500%K -1.03%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.05%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-01 18:40
SportsBet🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -2.50%E -1.31%K -2.75%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -10.90%E -5.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-11-01 18:40
Coolbet🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.52%E -1.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-01 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.03%E -2.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-01 19:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-01 18:34
Bet Right🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-01 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.05%E -2.72%K -5.88%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-01 18:45
DraftKings🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.13%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-01 16:10
Caesars🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.13%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-01 19:09
ReBet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -7.48%E -3.96%K -8.40%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-01 19:09
theScore Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.09%E -1.05%K -2.09%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-01 18:25
Paddy Power🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -11.88%E -6.60%K -14.85%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-11-01 18:39
LeoVegas🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.44%E -5.10%K -11.10%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-11-01 19:10
picklebet_au🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 50.56%EV -10.16%E -5.77%K -13.37%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 49.44%EV -11.88%E -6.60%K -14.85%G +0.000%	12.4%	2026-11-01 19:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%	1.1%	2026-11-01 19:15
Novig◎	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%	6.4%	2026-11-01 19:25
ProphetX◎	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%	2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%	6.6%	2026-11-01 19:20
Polymarket◎	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%	1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%	7.0%	2026-11-01 19:15