Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders v Nevada Wolf Pack

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 23:02 UTC

Final: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 27–20 Nevada Wolf Pack

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Local)

Prediction 38.72%2.58fair odd
EV +0.675%
Edge +0.260%
Kelly +0.422%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.89%38.64%38.83%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.462.452.6043.48%40.66%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit)

Prediction 61.28%1.63fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -4.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%61.36%61.17%63.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.561.5966.67%64.31%64.10%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Local): 38.72%; Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit): 61.28%. For Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.675%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +0.675%E +0.260%K +0.422%G +0.003%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -6.24%E -4.08%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-16 15:54
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +0.675%E +0.260%K +0.422%G +0.003%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -6.24%E -4.08%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-16 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV +0.675%E +0.260%K +0.422%G +0.003%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -6.86%E -4.51%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 14:01
MyBookie.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -0.099%E -0.038%K -0.063%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -7.47%E -4.95%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 15:48
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -0.486%E -0.189%K -0.310%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.41%E -2.82%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-19 21:20
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.26%E -0.494%K -0.813%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.41%E -2.82%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-19 21:14
BetAnything🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -3.79%E -2.42%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-19 14:01
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.20%E -1.28%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.57%E -1.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-16 16:40
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.20%E -1.28%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.79%E -2.42%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 14:01
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.20%E -1.28%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.41%E -2.82%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 18:50
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.20%E -1.28%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.41%E -2.82%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 23:50
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.20%E -1.28%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.08%E -5.39%K -16.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 22:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.58%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.57%E -1.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-14 16:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.58%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.57%E -1.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-14 16:40
BetUS🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -4.75%E -1.93%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -2.57%E -1.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-19 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.19%EV -4.75%E -1.93%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -6.86%E -4.51%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 21:39
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.13%E -2.10%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.79%E -2.42%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 22:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.13%E -2.10%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.41%E -2.82%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 19:54
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.13%E -2.10%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.41%E -2.82%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 19:54
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.13%E -2.10%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.41%E -2.82%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 19:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.13%E -2.10%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.41%E -2.82%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 19:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.13%E -2.10%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.41%E -2.82%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 19:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.13%E -2.10%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.41%E -2.82%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 19:55
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.13%E -2.10%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.41%E -2.82%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 19:53
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.13%E -2.10%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.41%E -2.82%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.13%E -2.10%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.02%E -3.24%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 16:50
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.13%E -2.10%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.02%E -3.24%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 22:09
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.13%E -2.10%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.02%E -3.24%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 18:55
Dabble (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.13%E -2.10%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.02%E -3.24%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.13%E -2.10%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.63%E -3.66%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.91%E -2.43%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.02%E -3.24%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-17 19:54
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.91%E -2.43%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.02%E -3.24%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-17 19:55
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -7.07%E -2.95%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.57%E -1.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.07%E -2.95%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.79%E -2.42%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 22:14
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.07%E -2.95%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.79%E -2.42%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 22:14
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.07%E -2.95%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.41%E -2.82%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 22:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.07%E -2.95%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.02%E -3.24%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 22:54
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.07%E -2.95%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.02%E -3.24%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 23:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.23%E -3.47%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.24%E -4.08%K -11.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 22:14
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.00%E -3.83%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.02%E -3.24%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 22:10
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.94%E -4.76%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.02%E -3.24%K -9.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 22:48
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.94%E -4.76%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.02%E -3.24%K -9.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 22:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-09-19 22:54
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-09-17 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%1.4%2026-09-19 22:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%1.4%2026-09-19 22:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%1.4%2026-09-19 22:19
Matchbook◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%1.4%2026-09-19 22:20