Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders v Murray State Racers

2026-09-05 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

90%

10%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Local)

Prediction 89.79%1.11fair odd

EV -3.03%

Edge -2.80%

Kelly -37.85%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

86.51%89.79%89.88%91.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.051.071.071.0895.24%93.75%93.46%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Murray State Racers (Visit)

Prediction 10.21%9.79fair odd

EV +12.32%

Edge +1.12%

Kelly +1.23%

Growth +0.152%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

8.71%10.21%10.12%13.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

6.808.638.2511.0014.71%11.58%12.12%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Local): 89.79%; Murray State Racers (Visit): 10.21%. For Murray State Racers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.79. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 11.00, producing a positive expected value of +12.32%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.72%E -5.45%K -114.44%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +12.32%E +1.12%K +1.23%G +0.152%	4.3%	2026-08-07 16:55
Fanatics🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.93%E -3.67%K -56.09%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -2.99%E -0.315%K -0.352%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-07 16:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.03%E -2.80%K -37.85%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -13.20%E -1.55%K -1.76%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-07 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.93%E -3.67%K -56.09%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -18.31%E -2.29%K -2.62%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-07 16:55
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.93%E -3.67%K -56.09%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -18.31%E -2.29%K -2.62%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-07 17:00
LeoVegas🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 86.51%EV -4.82%E -4.55%K -80.40%G +0.000%	6.80I 14.71%NM 13.49%EV -30.56%E -4.49%K -5.27%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-08-07 16:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.