Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders v Murray State Racers

2026-09-05 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Local)

Prediction 90.91%1.10fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -22.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.80%90.61%90.91%92.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.051.051.0897.09%95.16%95.24%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Murray State Racers (Visit)

Prediction 9.09%11.00fair odd
EV +9.06%
Edge +0.755%
Kelly +0.823%
Growth +0.075%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.98%9.39%9.09%12.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.7010.5211.0012.0012.99%9.50%9.09%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Local): 90.91%; Murray State Racers (Visit): 9.09%. For Murray State Racers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.00. 10 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 12.00, producing a positive expected value of +9.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
betPARX🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.45%E -5.24%K -136.29%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +9.06%E +0.755%K +0.823%G +0.075%4.5%2026-09-02 14:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.45%E -5.24%K -136.29%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +9.06%E +0.755%K +0.823%G +0.075%4.5%2026-09-02 14:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.45%E -5.24%K -136.29%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +9.06%E +0.755%K +0.823%G +0.075%4.5%2026-09-02 14:04
Bally Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.45%E -5.24%K -136.29%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +9.06%E +0.755%K +0.823%G +0.075%4.5%2026-09-02 14:10
Fanatics🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.63%E -3.43%K -60.56%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +4.51%E +0.392%K +0.430%G +0.019%3.0%2026-09-04 04:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.45%E -5.24%K -136.29%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +4.51%E +0.392%K +0.430%G +0.019%4.8%2026-09-02 14:04
BetRivers🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.45%E -5.24%K -136.29%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +4.51%E +0.392%K +0.430%G +0.019%4.8%2026-09-02 14:09
Unibet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -6.36%E -6.18%K -212.02%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV +4.51%E +0.392%K +0.430%G +0.019%5.8%2026-09-02 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -6.36%E -6.18%K -212.02%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV +4.51%E +0.392%K +0.430%G +0.019%5.8%2026-09-02 14:04
GTbets🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.25%EV -3.63%E -3.43%K -60.56%G +0.000%11.05I 9.05%NM 8.75%EV +0.423%E +0.038%K +0.042%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-03 15:20
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.63%E -3.43%K -60.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -0.032%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-03 14:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.36%E -6.18%K -212.02%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -0.032%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 09:55
Fliff🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.25%EV -5.45%E -5.24%K -136.29%G +0.000%10.85I 9.22%NM 8.75%EV -1.39%E -0.129%K -0.142%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 23:05
Caesars🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.54%E -4.33%K -90.85%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -4.58%E -0.436%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 21:27
FanDuel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.59%EV -3.63%E -3.43%K -60.56%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.41%EV -7.30%E -0.716%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 14:45
theScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.63%E -3.43%K -60.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -9.12%E -0.912%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 14:44
ReBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.15%EV -3.63%E -3.43%K -60.56%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.85%EV -11.85%E -1.22%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 02:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -1.82%E -1.68%K -22.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -22.75%E -2.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 02:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -2.72%E -2.55%K -38.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -22.75%E -2.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 02:50
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -2.72%E -2.55%K -38.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -22.75%E -2.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 02:50
SportsBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.54%E -4.33%K -90.85%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -22.75%E -2.68%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 16:15
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.80%EV -2.72%E -2.55%K -38.92%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.20%EV -30.02%E -3.90%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 02:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-09-04 07:30
ProphetX1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-09-04 14:35