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Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders v Murray State Racers

2026-09-05 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Local)

Prediction 91.21%1.10fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -18.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.98%90.28%91.21%91.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.061.061.0897.09%94.23%94.34%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Murray State Racers (Visit)

Prediction 8.79%11.38fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -0.302%
Kelly -0.332%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.71%9.72%8.79%14.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.509.109.2511.0015.38%10.99%10.81%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Local): 91.21%; Murray State Racers (Visit): 8.79%. For Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.10. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.08, with an expected value of -1.49%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -1.49%E -1.38%K -18.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -25.29%E -2.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-11 15:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -1.49%E -1.38%K -18.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -34.08%E -4.54%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 16:40
ReBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.22%EV -2.40%E -2.25%K -34.35%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.78%EV -35.84%E -4.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 10:24
Fanatics🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.32%E -3.13%K -55.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -3.32%E -0.302%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-10 16:40
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.32%E -3.13%K -55.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -3.32%E -0.302%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-10 16:34
LeoVegas🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.98%EV -3.32%E -3.13%K -55.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -42.87%E -6.60%K -7.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-11 15:54
FanDuel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.23%E -4.03%K -84.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.32%E -0.302%K -0.332%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.05%E -5.88%K -201.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.11%E -1.21%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 00:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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